Plzen vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Plzen host Levski Sofia on 22 October 2026 at 22:00 in the third round of the Europa League. Plzen are heavy favorites at 1.78 to win, while Levski sit at 4.51 as underdogs. The Czech side won 3–2 at home to Jablonec on 18 October but have lost both Europa League matches so far, falling 0–3 to Union and 1–2 to Ferencváros. Levski beat Spartak Pleven 2–0 in the Bulgarian Cup on the same date and drew 1–1 with NEK in their last Europa League outing, though they lost 0–1 to Salzburg without a shot on target.

Form and H2H

Plzen's home record in the Europa League is built on control. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition, and opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of those 10 games. Plzen average 1.80 goals for and 1.40 against across their last 10 home fixtures across all competitions, winning four and drawing two of those ten.

Levski operate with similar caution. Under 2.5 goals has hit in 8 of their last 10 Europa League matches. They rank last in the tournament for shots on target, managing fewer than 4.5 in 8 of their last 10 European games. Across their last 10 matches in all competitions, Levski have scored fewer than five goals in 9 of them. Away from home, Levski average 1.30 goals for and 1.19 against, winning five of their last ten.

Best bet

Under 3.5 goals. Plzen defend tightly at home and rarely concede more than one goal. Levski lack attacking threat and have shown no appetite for open play. Four goals is a high bar when one side controls possession and the other creates few clear chances. The market prices this at 1.45 with most operators, but 1xBet offers Under 3.5 at standard odds.

Odds to watch

Plzen win trades at 1.78 on 1xBet, a fair reflection of their home advantage and Levski's poor away record. The draw sits at 4.06, and Levski's win is priced at 4.51. Both teams to score is available at 1.67 for yes and 2.13 for no, suggesting the market leans toward at least one side failing to score.