Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction

Latvia host Montenegro in UEFA Nations League action on 2 October 2026 at 19:00. Latvia have managed one draw and one defeat across their opening two matches, scoring just once and conceding twice. They managed 0.75 expected goals against Cyprus in a goalless draw and have failed to score in six of their last ten matches. Montenegro arrive off a 3-2 win over Armenia, with substitute Aleksa Latkovic scoring the late winner. The visitors have won 60% of their last ten fixtures and lost just once in their last five away games.

Form and H2H

Latvia's home record over their last ten matches reads two wins, four draws, and four losses, averaging 0.48 goals for and 1.16 against. Montenegro's away form is sharper: six wins, one draw, and three losses, with 1.89 goals for and 1.54 against. The head-to-head record between these sides shows one win each and two draws across their last three meetings. Montenegro won 2-1 in Riga in March 2021, but Latvia drew 1-1 at home in October 2020 and 0-0 away in September 2021.

Best Bet

Montenegro's attacking threat and Latvia's defensive fragility point to an away win. Montenegro have scored 1.80 goals per game in their last ten matches and average 3.40 goals across their recent road fixtures. Latvia have conceded 1.16 per game at home and lack cutting edge in attack, managing only 0.48 goals per game. The pick is Montenegro to win.

Odds to Watch

Montenegro's superior form and Latvia's struggles in both boxes make the visitors the clear play. Look at Over 1.5 goals given Montenegro's attacking output on the road and Latvia's defensive record. A 0-2 correct score reflects the expected margin and Montenegro's ability to keep clean sheets, as they have done in recent fixtures.