Genoa vs Juventus Prediction

Genoa host Juventus on 28 October 2026 at 22:45 in Serie A's ninth round. The visitors arrive as clear favourites, with Juventus priced at 1.68 to win across the partner books, while Genoa sit at 5.2 to 5.61 depending on the operator. Juventus occupy seventh place with 14 points from eight matches under Luciano Spalletti, holding the league's best defensive xG conceded at 0.54. Genoa, managed by Daniele De Rossi, sit lower in the table and have struggled to score consistently this season.

Form and H2H

Genoa won their last outing 1–0 at home against Venezia, with Mikael Ellertsson scoring, but their attack remains a persistent weakness. The side averages just 0.71 goals per match this season—among Serie A's lowest—and has conceded 2.57 per game. In nine of their last ten home matches, Genoa have scored fewer than 3.5 goals. Juventus beat Lecce 2–0 away last time out through Weston McKennie and Douglas Luiz, bouncing back from a 3–0 home loss to Lazio. In eight of their last ten away Serie A matches, Juventus have attempted over 23.5 shots while committing fewer than 25.5 fouls. Juventus concede just 1.14 goals per match and have kept opponents to one goal or fewer in eight of their last ten away games.

Best bet

Both Teams Not to Score offers the clearest edge here. Genoa's attacking output of 0.71 goals per match is too limited to expect a multi-goal performance against a side defending as tightly as Juventus. Juventus have shown they can shut out opponents on the road, and Genoa's recent 1–0 win over Venezia proves they can grind out a result on a single goal without needing to open up further. Even a 1–1 draw fits the pattern of a controlled, low-scoring affair. The market prices Both Teams Not to Score at 1.75, reflecting genuine probability that at least one side will fail to find the net.

Odds to watch

Juventus to win is available at 1.68 on Melbet and Mostbet, 1.67 on Mostbet, 1.69 on 1Win, and 1.70 on 1xBet. A draw trades at 3.76 on Melbet, 3.67 on Mostbet, 3.7 on 1Win, and 4.01 on 1xBet. Genoa's win price sits at 5.2 on Melbet and Mostbet, 5.3 on 1Win, and 5.61 on 1xBet. Under 2.5 goals is the secondary play, given both teams' tendency toward narrow scorelines and Genoa's inability to generate consistent attacking threat.