AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

AS Roma host Cagliari on 27 October 2026 at 22:45 in Serie A's ninth round. Roma are unbeaten at home across their last ten league matches and arrive off a 3–3 draw with Napoli away. Cagliari lost 0–2 to Bologna in their previous outing and sit eighth on 13 points from eight games. The visitors' manager Fabio Pisacane flagged excessive sideways passing and a lack of attacking depth after that defeat.

Roma average 2.38 goals per match this season with an xG of 2.15, second in the league. Cagliari manage just 0.75 goals per game, the lowest in Serie A, and have scored under 1.5 in eight of their last ten away fixtures. Roma concede only 0.75 per match at home. Midfielder Harry Winkes is a doubt for Cagliari due to a back injury. The gap in attacking output makes a Cagliari goal unlikely even if Roma's matches tend toward open play with an average total of 3.13 goals.

Form and H2H

Roma have won five and drawn four of their last ten home games, averaging 2.30 goals for and 1.10 against. In eight of those ten matches, they conceded fewer than 1.5 goals. Cagliari have won five and lost four of their last ten away games, averaging 0.80 goals for and 1.11 against. They scored under 1.5 in eight of those ten outings.

Roma's defence has limited opponents to fewer than 13.5 shots on goal in nine of their last ten home matches. Cagliari have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in eight of their last ten away games. In nine of Cagliari's last ten away matches, fewer than 4.5 yellow cards were shown.

Best Bet

Both Teams to Score — No. Cagliari's attacking output of 0.75 goals per game combined with Roma's defensive record at home makes a goal from the visitors a long shot. Roma's 2.38 average and recent form suggest they will score, but Cagliari's struggles in the final third mean a one-sided scoreline is more likely. Back Both Teams to Score — No at 1xBet 1.4.

Odds to Watch

Roma are heavy favourites. A Roma win trades at 1xBet 1.4, a draw at 1xBet 5.2, and a Cagliari win at 1xBet 9.35. Roma's attacking threat and home record make the home win the shortest price, while Cagliari's inability to score away makes their victory a long shot. Over 2.5 goals appears more likely than Under 2.5 given Roma's output, though Roma may win without a high-scoring affair.