Sports predictions
Julián Alvarez

Julián AlvarezST#19

Atlético·UEFA Youth League logoUEFA Youth League·Attack - Centre-Forward

26 years(31/01/2000)1,70mrightArgentina, ItalyContract until 30/06/2030

6.99Rating53 matches in 12 months
€120.00mMarket value#1 in Atlético

Last 5rating per match

LaLiga01.117.4
UEFA Champio04.117.9
LaLiga08.117.5
LaLiga23.116
UEFA Champio26.117

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

7.10Nov
6.80Dec
6.70Jan
6.90Feb
7.60Mar
7.40Apr
6.60May
6.20Jun
6.80Jul
6.50Aug
6.80Sep
7.30Oct

Club matchesAtlético

Team page →

Recent results

20 Sept · 15:15La LigaHReal Madrid logoReal Madrid—Prediction16 Sept · 18:00La LigaHOsasuna logoOsasuna—Prediction13 Sept · 20:00La LigaAReal Sociedad logoReal Sociedad—Prediction09 Sept · 20:00UEFA Champions LeagueALiverpool logoLiverpool—Prediction05 Sept · 15:15La LigaAAthletic Club logoAthletic ClubL0:3Prediction

Key statsInternational Friendly Games · FIFA World Cup

Goals30.32 / 90
xG0.140.28 / 90
Assists0
xA0.040.08 / 90
Shots212.22 / 90
Shots on target943%
Key passes80.85 / 90
Pass accuracy85.2%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING82TECHNIQUE74TACTICAL60DEFENDING26CREATIVITY71

Player Position average

Attacking82
Technique74
Tactical60
Defending26
Creativity71

Strengths

  • Consistency
  • Tackling
  • Ball interception

Weaknesses

  • Long balls

Player positions: ST

Positions on the pitch

STAttack →

Percentiles per 90per 90 minutes vs positional peers of the league

AttackingPer 90 · Percentile

Goals0.3873%
xG0.3672%
Shots2.5668%
Shots on target1.2382%
Conversion %14.868%
Big chances missed0.3831%
Dribbles1.2361%
Fouls won0.8511%
Offsides0.0996%

PlaymakingPer 90 · Percentile

Assists0.1973%
xA0.2493%
Key passes2.2295%
Big chances created0.4793%
Accurate passes27.2181%
Pass accuracy %83.587%
Final third passes12.8289%
Long balls1.1884%
Crosses1.2888%

DefendingPer 90 · Percentile

Tackles0.9943%
Interceptions0.1417%
Clearances0.244%
Aerial duels won0.2418%
Duels won3.3113%
Recoveries2.4119%
Dribbled past0.7141%
Fouls0.6689%
Errors leading to goal0.0053%

What a percentile means

The percentile shows what share of players of the same position in this league the player beats on a per-90-minute metric. 90% — better than nine out of ten peers; 50% — the league median. Per 90 minutes removes the effect of playing time.

For fouls, offsides, being dribbled past and goals conceded the scale is inverted: a higher percentile means fewer of them.

vs 75 forwards · LaLiga · season 25/26 · min 270′ · player 1902′

Similar playersLaLiga · forwards · season 25/26

79%Kylian Mbappé photoKylian MbappéReal Madrid · Attack - Centre-Forward7.56Rating25G5A27age78%Gonçalo Guedes photoGonçalo GuedesReal Sociedad · Attack - Left Winger6.90Rating8G4A29age77%Hugo Álvarez photoHugo ÁlvarezCelta de Vigo · Attack - Left Winger6.79Rating4G2A23age76%Bryan Zaragoza photoBryan ZaragozaEspanyol · Attack - Left Winger6.86Rating1G1A24age76%Javi Puado photoJavi PuadoEspanyol · Attack - Left Winger6.59Rating2G0A28age76%Mikel Oyarzabal photoMikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad · Attack - Centre-Forward7.06Rating15G4A29age

Profile match = 100 − mean gap of per-90 percentiles across 27 metrics of this position; players of the same league, position group and season with at least 270 minutes.

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-1.0

Goals xG · total 8 / 9.0

Assists vs xA

-2.3

Assists xA · total 4 / 6.3

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusInjuredsince 12.09.2026
Missed matches5last 12 months
National teamArgentina logoArgentina59 caps · 15 goals
Contract until30/06/2030
Market value€120.00mHighest: €120.00m (22/07/2026)

Season statsSeason 2026

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
International Friendly GamesArgentina logoArgentina202642507.252—2——
FIFA World Cup logoFIFA World CupArgentina logoArgentina202686016.571—1——
Transfers7
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
12/08/202424/25Man City logoMan CityAtlético logoAtlético€75.00m€90.00m
07/07/202222/23River Plate logoRiver PlateMan City logoMan CityEnd of loan€23.00m
01/02/202221/22Man City logoMan CityRiver Plate logoRiver Plateloan transfer€20.00m
31/01/202221/22River Plate logoRiver PlateMan City logoMan City€21.40m€20.00m
01/01/201918/19River Plate II logoRiver Plate IIRiver Plate logoRiver Plate-€1.00m
01/01/201817/18River Plate U20 logoRiver Plate U20River Plate II logoRiver Plate II--
01/01/201615/16CA AtalayaRiver Plate U20 logoRiver Plate U20free transfer-

Market value

€120.00m Current€120.00m Highest · 22/07/202622/07/2026 Last change
€120.00m
18.12.201822.07.2026
#1 Argentina#1 Atlético#3 Centre-Forward#6 LaLiga#11 Worldwide#4 Year 2000
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
18/12/201818CA River Plate II logoCA River Plate II€1.00m
23/05/201919CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€10.00m
06/08/201919CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€10.00m
05/12/201919CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€10.00m
08/04/202020CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€9.00m
08/02/202121CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€12.00m
11/06/202121CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€15.00m
20/10/202121CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€20.00m
08/02/202222CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€23.00m
24/05/202222CA River Plate logoCA River Plate€23.00m
15/09/202222Manchester City logoManchester City€28.00m
03/11/202222Manchester City logoManchester City€32.00m
23/12/202222Manchester City logoManchester City€50.00m
20/06/202323Manchester City logoManchester City€60.00m
09/10/202323Manchester City logoManchester City€80.00m
19/12/202323Manchester City logoManchester City€90.00m
27/05/202424Manchester City logoManchester City€90.00m
11/10/202424Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€75.00m
27/12/202424Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€80.00m
21/03/202525Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€90.00m
09/06/202525Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€100.00m
12/12/202525Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€100.00m
16/03/202626Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€90.00m
05/06/202626Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€100.00m
22/07/202626Atlético de Madrid logoAtlético de Madrid€120.00m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026La ligaAtletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid24500.140.1400.04220.18
2025La ligaAtletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid29192688.896.6646.27544717.45

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.

Teammatessame club

Ademola Lookman photoAdemola LookmanAttack - Left Winger28age€40.00mvalueAlejandro Grimaldo photoAlejandro GrimaldoDefender - Left-Back30age€20.00mvalueAlexander Sørloth photoAlexander SørlothAttack - Centre-Forward30age€18.00mvalueArnau Ortiz photoArnau OrtizAttack - Left Winger24age€1.20mvalueCristian Romero photoCristian RomeroDefender - Centre-Back28age€50.00mvalueDani Martinez photoDani MartinezDefender - Centre-Back22age€500kvalueDávid Hancko photoDávid HanckoDefender - Centre-Back28age€35.00mvalueGiuliano Simeone photoGiuliano SimeoneAttack - Right Winger23age€40.00mvalue