Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction

Palmeiras host Corinthians on 11 October 2026 at 23:30 in a Serie A derby where the hosts sit second on 60 points, one behind the leaders, while Corinthians occupy 16th place with 32 points, just one above the relegation zone. Palmeiras have won five consecutive home matches and remain unbeaten across eight straight games at their stadium. Corinthians have lost seven consecutive league matches and conceded in eight straight games across all competitions.

Form and H2H

Palmeiras have collected 10 wins, three draws and one defeat in 14 home league matches, scoring 24 goals and conceding nine. They are unbeaten in their last six Serie A matches overall and have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven matches across all competitions. Corinthians have recorded three wins, five draws and six defeats in 14 away league matches but have not won in eight consecutive games across all competitions, with seven defeats and one draw during that run.

The last 11 head-to-head meetings between the sides have all finished with under 2.5 goals, while both teams scored in only one of the last eight encounters. Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Corinthians, with results including a 2-1 home win in August 2011, a 0-0 draw in December 2011, and a 1-1 draw in October 2014.

Best Bet

Palmeiras to win at 1.64 with 1Win. The hosts' home dominance, defensive solidity and current form contrast sharply with Corinthians' extended losing run and vulnerability on the road. Palmeiras have conceded only nine goals in 14 home league matches this season while Corinthians have conceded 34 goals in 29 league matches overall.

Odds to Watch

The draw is priced at 3.73 with 1Win, reflecting the historical pattern of tight contests between these sides. Corinthians at 6.1 represents a significant underdog price given their current form, with seven consecutive league defeats and a run of eight straight matches without a win across all competitions. Over 2.5 goals appears unlikely given that the last 11 head-to-head meetings have all finished under that mark.