Liga MX · Apertura - 14

Leon vs Toluca

Leon

1 : 1FTMexico

Toluca

AuthorRS7 Editorial Team

Football analysis, betting education and bookmaker reviews from the rs7sportsbetting editorial desk.

Published: 23 Oct 2026Updated: 25 Oct 2026, 22:45

Match preview

Kickoff time, live score, statistics and 1X2 odds for Leon vs Toluca in Liga MX on 25 October 2026.

Leon vs Toluca Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bet
	3.46	3.6	1.95	Place a bet
Best odds	3.46	3.60	1.95
Average	3.46	3.60	1.95
Lowest odds	3.46	3.60	1.95

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1X2 prediction for Leon vs Toluca

Date and time 25 October 2026 at 00:00

1X221.95

BTTSYes90%

Competitive fixture

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Leon vs Toluca Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

LeonLast matchesToluca

100%Over 0.5 goals100%

100%Over 1.5 goals100%

40%Over 2.5 goals80%

20%Over 3.5 goals60%

80%BTTS100%

80%Last 5 BTTS100%

Head to Head Leon — Toluca

In the last 8 meetings, Toluca hold the edge — 1 wins for Leon, 4 for Toluca, 3 draws.

13% W — 138% D — 350% W — 4

Toluca2:0Leon
Leagues Cup · 03 Sept 2026
Toluca4:1Leon
Liga MX · 26 Apr 2026
Leon2:4Toluca
Liga MX · 05 Oct 2025
Leon3:3Toluca
Liga MX · 09 Feb 2025
Toluca2:2Leon
Liga MX · 02 Nov 2024
Toluca4:1Leon
Liga MX · 03 Feb 2024
Leon1:0Toluca
Liga MX · 22 Oct 2023
Toluca0:0Leon
Liga MX · 29 Jan 2023

88%Over 0.588%

75%Over 1.575%

63%Over 2.563%

63%BTTS63%

75%Leon over 0.575%

Betting profits Leon vs Toluca

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Leon

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	+10.59	9	15
Match Winner	Draw	-4.59	3	15
Match Winner	Lose	-8.94	3	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+2.18	14	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-9.94	1	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-3.19	7	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+2.17	8	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-4.56	7	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	+2.50	12	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	-6.94	3	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	+2.68	12	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-5.74	2	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	+0.42	13	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	+0.39	7	7
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	-1.00	6	7

Toluca

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-0.85	8	14
Match Winner	Draw	+6.08	4	14
Match Winner	Lose	+1.73	2	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+0.03	12	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-3.94	2	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-1.80	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+0.61	6	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-0.44	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-1.55	7	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+1.87	7	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-3.07	7	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	+0.43	4	5
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	-0.51	4	5
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	+3.30	4	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-1.41	10	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	0.00	2	2
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	0.00	2	2

Match statistics

3939%Possession %61%61

0.9347%Expected goals53%1.05

1655%Total shots45%13

758%Shots on target42%5

650%Shots off target50%6

333%Corners67%6

1755%Fouls45%14

467%Yellow cards33%2

00%Red cards0%0

33537%Passes63%566

25034%Accurate passes66%486

440%Saves60%6

00%Offsides100%5

Key events

9'
Yellow card R. Echeverría
Leon
12'
Goal J. Alvarado (D. Arcila)
Leon
27'
Yellow card Helinho
Toluca
31'
Yellow card F. Romero
Toluca
39'
Yellow card J. Alvarado
Leon
44'
Goal F. Viñas
Toluca
45'
Substitution J. Romaña (→ J. Rodríguez)
Leon
45'
Substitution R. Echeverría (→ D. Cambindo)
Leon
62'
Substitution E. Guerra (→ J. Domínguez)
Leon
63'
Substitution Helinho (→ A. Vega)
Toluca
63'
Substitution F. Beltrán (→ J. Cortizo)
Leon
63'
Substitution P. Pérez (→ N. Castro)
Toluca
75'
Substitution F. Viñas (→ Paulinho)
Toluca
75'
Substitution D. Arcila (→ J. Lara)
Leon
86'
Substitution J. Díaz (→ J. Angulo)
Toluca
90+3'
Yellow card Juan José Guevara Possu
Leon
90+3'
Yellow card J. Lara
Leon

Last matches Leon

In the last 5 matches Leon have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1

Tigres UANL0:2Leon
WLiga MX · 21 Oct 2026
Leon3:5Club America
LLiga MX · 18 Oct 2026
Puebla1:1Leon
DLiga MX · 10 Oct 2026
Leon2:1FC Juarez
WLiga MX · 28 Sept 2026
Club Queretaro1:1Leon
DLiga MX · 21 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 2
Draws: 2
Losses: 1
Goals / game: 1.8
Over 1.5: 100%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 80%

Last matches Toluca

Toluca have not won in the last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 losses).

0% W — 060% D — 340% L — 2

Toluca2:2Club Tijuana
DLiga MX · 22 Oct 2026
Toluca1:1Atletico San Luis
DLiga MX · 18 Oct 2026
Tigres UANL3:2Toluca
LLiga MX · 10 Oct 2026
Monterrey2:1Toluca
LFriendlies Clubs · 04 Oct 2026
Cruz Azul3:3Toluca
DLiga MX · 26 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 0
Draws: 3
Losses: 2
Goals / game: 1.8
Over 1.5: 100%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 100%

Leon vs Toluca Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Pts
1	Club America	12	8	3	1	32-16	16	27
2	Guadalajara Chivas	13	6	5	2	20-12	8	23
3	Cruz Azul	13	7	2	4	29-22	7	23
4	Toluca	13	6	4	3	28-18	10	22
6	Atlas	13	6	3	4	21-23	-2	21
7	Monterrey	12	6	2	4	23-17	6	20
8	Club Queretaro	12	6	2	4	16-15	1	20
9	Santos Laguna	13	6	1	6	19-16	3	19
10	Atletico San Luis	14	5	4	5	19-22	-3	19
11	Club Tijuana	12	4	5	3	17-16	1	17
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	13	4	4	5	19-22	-3	16
13	Puebla	13	4	4	5	13-17	-4	16
14	Tigres UANL	13	3	5	5	14-18	-4	14
15	Atlante FC	14	3	5	6	14-20	-6	14
16	CF Pachuca	13	3	4	6	20-18	2	13
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16-27	-11	10
18	FC Juarez	14	1	2	11	9-33	-24	5