Sports predictions
Lorenzo LuccaNapoli logo

Lorenzo LuccaST#20

Napoli·Serie A logoSerie A·Attack - Centre-Forward

25 years(10/09/2000)2,01mrightItalyContract until 30/06/2030

6.53Rating26 matches in 12 months
€20.00mMarket value#8 in Napoli · #84 in Serie A

Last 5rating per match

Serie A01.116.5
Serie A09.116.5
Serie A22.116.3
UEFA Champio25.116.4
Serie A30.116.6

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

6.50Nov
6.80Dec
6.40Jan
6.40Feb
6.50Mar
Apr
6.50May
Jun
Jul
6.40Aug
6.50Sep
Oct

Club matchesNapoli

Team page →

Recent results

20 Sept · 11:30Serie AAFiorentina logoFiorentina—Prediction13 Sept · 17:00Serie AHBologna logoBologna—Prediction09 Sept · 20:00UEFA Champions LeagueHArsenal logoArsenal—Prediction05 Sept · 17:00Serie AAInter logoInterL2:3Prediction30 Aug · 17:30Serie AHComo logoComoL1:2Prediction

Key statsSerie A · UEFA Champions League

Goals0
xG0.140.39 / 90
Assists0
xA0.982.76 / 90
Shots32.70 / 90
Shots on target133%
Key passes32.70 / 90
Pass accuracy83.9%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING66TECHNIQUE41TACTICAL45DEFENDING18CREATIVITY40

Player Position average

Attacking66
Technique41
Tactical45
Defending18
Creativity40

Strengths

No outstanding strengths

Weaknesses

  • Penalty taking

Player positions: ST

Positions on the pitch

STAttack →

Percentiles per 90per 90 minutes vs positional peers of the league

AttackingPer 90 · Percentile

Goals0.2139%
xG0.2748%
Shots3.2184%
Shots on target1.0768%
Conversion %6.725%
Big chances missed0.4334%
Dribbles1.2961%
Fouls won2.7984%
Offsides0.8615%

PlaymakingPer 90 · Percentile

Assists0.0010%
xA0.1365%
Key passes0.433%
Big chances created0.2153%
Accurate passes11.1415%
Pass accuracy %78.866%
Final third passes4.7118%
Long balls0.2115%

DefendingPer 90 · Percentile

Tackles0.001%
Interceptions0.004%
Clearances0.6454%
Aerial duels won2.1474%
Duels won6.0066%
Recoveries2.3624%
Dribbled past0.2181%
Fouls3.640%
Errors leading to goal0.0053%

What a percentile means

The percentile shows what share of players of the same position in this league the player beats on a per-90-minute metric. 90% — better than nine out of ten peers; 50% — the league median. Per 90 minutes removes the effect of playing time.

For fouls, offsides, being dribbled past and goals conceded the scale is inverted: a higher percentile means fewer of them.

vs 62 forwards · Serie A · season 25/26 · min 270′ · player 420′

Similar playersSerie A · forwards · season 25/26

80%Lorenzo Colombo photoLorenzo ColomboGenoa · Attack - Centre-Forward6.54Rating7G1A24age79%Roberto Piccoli photoRoberto PiccoliBologna · Attack - Centre-Forward6.51Rating4G1A25age79%Duván Zapata photoDuván ZapataTorino · Attack - Centre-Forward6.63Rating3G1A35age77%Kieron Bowie photoKieron BowieSassuolo · Attack - Centre-Forward6.78Rating4G0A23age77%Keinan Davis photoKeinan DavisUdinese · Attack - Centre-Forward7.00Rating10G4A28age77%Mateo Pellegrino photoMateo PellegrinoFiorentina · Attack - Centre-Forward6.72Rating9G1A24age

Profile match = 100 − mean gap of per-90 percentiles across 26 metrics of this position; players of the same league, position group and season with at least 270 minutes.

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-1.0

Goals xG · total 1 / 2.0

Assists vs xA

-1.6

Assists xA · total 0 / 1.6

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusInjuredsince 03.01.2026
National teamItaly logoItaly5 caps · 0 goals
Contract until30/06/2030
Market value€20.00mHighest: €30.00m (07/10/2025)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
Serie A logoSerie ASSC Napoli logoSSC Napoli26/275876.44——0——
UEFA Champions League logoUEFA Champions LeagueSSC Napoli logoSSC Napoli26/271136.70——01—
Transfers20
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
30/06/202625/26Nott'm Forest logoNott'm ForestNapoli logoNapoliEnd of loan€20.00m
23/01/202625/26Napoli logoNapoliNott'm Forest logoNott'm ForestLoan fee:€2.00m€25.00m
22/01/202625/26Udinese logoUdineseNapoli logoNapoli€26.00m€25.00m
21/01/202625/26Napoli logoNapoliUdinese logoUdineseEnd of loan€25.00m
18/07/202525/26Udinese logoUdineseNapoli logoNapoliLoan fee:€9.00m€22.00m
01/07/202424/25Pisa logoPisaUdinese logoUdinese€8.00m€12.00m
30/06/202423/24Udinese logoUdinesePisa logoPisaEnd of loan€12.00m
07/07/202323/24Pisa logoPisaUdinese logoUdineseLoan fee:€800k€5.00m
30/06/202322/23Ajax logoAjaxPisa logoPisaEnd of loan€5.00m
04/08/202222/23Pisa logoPisaAjax logoAjaxLoan fee:€1.00m€6.00m
21/07/202121/22Palermo logoPalermoPisa logoPisa€2.65m€300k
31/01/202019/20Torino U19 logoTorino U19Palermo logoPalermo?€125k
30/06/201918/19Brescia U19 logoBrescia U19Torino U19 logoTorino U19End of loan€125k
04/08/201818/19Torino U19 logoTorino U19Brescia U19 logoBrescia U19loan transfer-
01/07/201818/19Vicenza U19 logoVicenza U19Torino U19 logoTorino U19free transfer-
01/07/201717/18Chieri G. logoChieri G.Vicenza U19 logoVicenza U19free transfer-
30/06/201716/17Atletico Torino logoAtletico TorinoChieri G. logoChieri G.End of loan-
01/07/201616/17Chieri G. logoChieri G.Atletico Torino logoAtletico Torinoloan transfer-
01/07/201515/16Torino FC Youth logoTorino FC YouthChieri G. logoChieri G.?-
01/07/200808/09CBSTorino FC Youth logoTorino FC Youthfree transfer-

Market value

€20.00m Current€30.00m Highest · 07/10/202503/06/2026 Last change
€30.00m
14.06.201903.06.2026
#86 Centre-Forward#27 Italy#8 Napoli#84 Serie A#562 Worldwide#66 Year 2000
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
14/06/201918Brescia Primavera logoBrescia Primavera€125k
29/06/202019SSD Palermo€100k
13/01/202120Palermo FC logoPalermo FC€175k
23/06/202120Palermo FC logoPalermo FC€300k
14/10/202121Pisa Sporting Club logoPisa Sporting Club€5.00m
29/12/202121Pisa Sporting Club logoPisa Sporting Club€6.50m
06/06/202221Pisa Sporting Club logoPisa Sporting Club€6.00m
11/11/202222Ajax Amsterdam logoAjax Amsterdam€6.00m
23/06/202322Ajax Amsterdam logoAjax Amsterdam€5.00m
20/12/202323Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€6.00m
12/03/202423Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€8.00m
05/06/202423Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€12.00m
18/10/202424Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€18.00m
18/12/202424Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€18.00m
25/03/202524Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€22.00m
17/06/202524Udinese Calcio logoUdinese Calcio€22.00m
07/10/202525SSC Napoli logoSSC Napoli€30.00m
23/12/202525SSC Napoli logoSSC Napoli€25.00m
03/06/202625Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest€20.00m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026Serie ANapoli logoNapoli33200.140.1400.98221.42
2025Serie ANapoli logoNapoli1638111.911.9100.661523.88

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.

Teammatessame club

Alessandro Buongiorno photoAlessandro BuongiornoDefender - Centre-Back27age€30.00mvalueAlex Meret photoAlex MeretGoalkeeper29age€8.00mvalueAlisson Santos photoAlisson SantosAttack - Left Winger23age€28.00mvalueAmir Rrahmani photoAmir RrahmaniDefender - Centre-Back32age€10.00mvalueAntonio Vergara photoAntonio VergaraMidfield - Attacking Midfield23age€15.00mvalueBenoît Badiashile photoBenoît BadiashileDefender - Centre-Back25age€15.00mvalueBilly Gilmour photoBilly GilmourMidfield - Defensive Midfield25age€20.00mvalueClaudio Pugliese photoClaudio PuglieseGoalkeeper18age€100kvalue