Tver vs Torpedo Vladimir Prediction

Tver hosts Torpedo Vladimir on 27 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Second League Group 2. Tver arrives in stronger domestic form, winning five of their last ten at home with an average of 1.69 goals for and 1.30 against. Torpedo Vladimir's away record is fragile: three wins in ten road matches, 1.10 goals scored, 1.30 conceded. The visitors have lost four of their last five games across all competitions and managed only one goal in three of those five matches.

Form and H2H

Tver's last five matches show one win, three draws, and one loss. They scored four goals and conceded six, with the sole defeat a 0–4 away thrashing at Chertanovo. The other four games produced no losses: a 2–0 win over Dynamo Vologda and three 0–0, 1–1, 1–1 draws. At home in recent fixtures, Tver took four points from two matches, scoring three and conceding one. Shot data reveals limited attacking efficiency: against Baltika Kaliningrad 2 and Yenisey 2, they managed five shots each with only one on target per game.

Torpedo Vladimir won only one of their last five matches and lost four, scoring four goals and conceding nine. After beating Zvezda St. Petersburg 3–2, they fell to Luka Energia 1–2, Murom 0–4, Smolensk 0–1, and drew 0–0 with Znamenie Nogginsk before losing on penalties. In three of five recent games they failed to score. Away from home, they beat Zvezda St. Petersburg but lost to Murom 3–6 on aggregate in those two matches.

Head-to-head across ten meetings favours Torpedo Vladimir with five wins to Tver's two and three draws. Torpedo won 4–1 at home last October and 3–2 in November 2023. Tver's most recent victory came 2–1 at home in May 2025. The teams drew 0–0 in July 2024.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals is the play. In eight of ten away matches, Torpedo Vladimir have finished below 2.5 total goals. Tver have not scored more than one goal in four of their last five home games. In the ten head-to-head meetings, under 3.5 goals has landed in eight matches, and Tver have never exceeded 2.5 goals in any of those ten fixtures. Torpedo Vladimir's away form is particularly weak on shot creation: against Znamenie Nogginsk they managed one shot and one on target while the opponent fired eight shots with seven on target. Tver's home setup is defensively compact but offensively blunt. The combination of Tver's limited scoring output and Torpedo Vladimir's recent collapse in attack makes a low-scoring result the most likely outcome.

Odds to watch

Torpedo Vladimir's away record and recent form make backing a Tver win more reliable than backing the visitors. The profit trend for Tver's home wins stands at 3.44 across the sample period. Torpedo Vladimir's away wins show a profit trend of 6.83, but that figure masks a team in freefall: one win in five recent matches and only four goals scored in ten away games. The draw has consistently lost money for both sides in this fixture. Focus on the total goals market rather than the 1X2 outcome.