First League · Regular Season - 11

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural Prediction

Alexander Bryant photo
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 12 Sept 2026Updated: 15 Sept 2026, 16:56

Match preview

Shinnik Yaroslavl hosts Ural in a First League clash on 14 September 2026. The home side has settled into mid-table after nine matches with 14 points, showing stability without major ambitions. Ural, however, arrives as challengers to the top four, sitting fifth with 18 points and an impressive defensive record—just four goals conceded, the league's best. The visitors have won five of their last ten away matches, while Shinnik has won four of their last ten at home. This matchup pits a solid, unambitious home team against a hungry, well-organised visitor.

Form and Head-to-Head

Shinnik enters on a five-match unbeaten run but have drawn three of those games, suggesting inconsistency. The hosts have scored eight goals in four home matches but face significant absences: Kosogrov is injured, Golubev is suspended, and key attackers Mitrov and Porokh have departed. Ural, by contrast, have conceded only one defeat in nine matches—a first-round loss to Torpedo. The visitors have recorded impressive wins over Yenisei, SKA-Khabarovsk, and Ufa (all 3-0), and recently beat KAMAZ 2-0 at home. Head-to-head records favour Ural, who have won three of the last five meetings, including consecutive 2-0 victories in 2024 and 2025.

Best Bet

Ural's superior squad depth and defensive solidity make them the logical choice despite playing away. Shinnik's departures have weakened their midfield and attack, while Ural have regained key players including Martin Sekulic and Evgeny Kharin. The visitors' single defeat in nine matches, combined with the league's best defence, suggests they can secure three points. This is an entertaining wager for those seeking value in the away win.

Odds to Watch

With no current partner prices available for this fixture, bettors should monitor odds as they develop closer to kickoff. Historical profit trends show Ural's away wins have underperformed expectations, while Shinnik's home performances have shown modest value. Both teams have demonstrated attacking capability—Shinnik average 1.6 goals at home, Ural 1.7 away—suggesting potential for goals. Keep watch for updated markets from major operators as match day approaches.

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet3.423.272.23Place a bet
Best odds3.423.272.23
Average3.423.272.23
Lowest odds3.423.272.23
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural

Date and time 14 September 2026 at 18:30

1X222.23
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

Place a bet on this match

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Y.Last matchesUralUral
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Shinnik Yaroslavl — Ural

In the last 5 meetings, Ural hold the edge — 1 wins for Shinnik Yaroslavl, 4 for Ural, 0 draws.

20% W — 10% D — 080% W — 4
  • UralUral0:1Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
    First League · 04 May 2026
  • Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl0:1UralUral
    First League · 19 Jul 2025
  • Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl0:2UralUral
    First League · 10 Nov 2024
  • UralUral2:1Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
    First League · 20 Jul 2024
  • Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl0:2UralUral
    Cup · 24 Jun 2020
100%Over 0.5100%
60%Over 1.560%
20%Over 2.520%
20%BTTS20%
40%Shinnik Y. over 0.580%

Betting profits Shinnik Y. vs Ural

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Shinnik Yaroslavl

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.46615
Match WinnerDraw+13.85815
Match WinnerLose-13.29115
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+3.051315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-9.45215
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.061315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.83815
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.42715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.30815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.34514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.71914
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.6445
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+1.8615
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.2413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.3423
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.3522
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.2722
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.8722
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.0002

Ural

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.76513
Match WinnerDraw-3.10313
Match WinnerLose+1.66513
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.3544
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0611
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.391013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.44313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.29912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.58612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.51613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.02713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.0035
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.1755
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.84113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.291213
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.3022
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4944
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.4022
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.0002

Match statistics

4444%Possession %56%56
538%Total shots62%8
250%Shots on target50%2
333%Shots off target67%6
350%Corners50%3
563%Yellow cards38%3
00%Red cards0%0

Key events

  • 8'
    Yellow card
    Shinnik Y.
  • 9'
    Yellow card Ítalo
    Ural
  • 11'
    Yellow card D. Yanov
    Shinnik Y.
  • 23'
    Yellow card
    Shinnik Y.
  • 35'
    Yellow card E. Valiakhmetov
    Shinnik Y.
  • 46'
    Substitution D. Yanov (→ I. Shmakov)
    Shinnik Y.
  • 46'
    Substitution N. Chistyakov (→ M. Karaev)
    Shinnik Y.
  • 60'
    Yellow card
    Shinnik Y.
  • 62'
    Substitution D. Bokov (→ M. Sekulić)
    Ural
  • 62'
    Substitution Léo Cordeiro (→ Vitaliy Bondarev)
    Ural
  • 71'
    Yellow card
    Ural
  • 74'
    Yellow card
    Ural
  • 75'
    Substitution O. Lanin (→ D. Mironov)
    Shinnik Y.
  • 77'
    Substitution A. Korotkov (→ V. Karapuzov)
    Ural
  • 78'
    Substitution V. Malkevich (→ E. Kharin)
    Ural
  • 81'
    Substitution B. Fourrier (→ N. Morozov)
    Ural
  • 89'
    Goal I. Azyavin
    Shinnik Y.
  • 90+3'
    Goal
    Ural

Shinnik YaroslavlLast matches Shinnik Yaroslavl

Shinnik Yaroslavl are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0
  • Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl2:0Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
    WCup · 10 Sept 2026
  • Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl2:2Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
    DFirst League · 05 Sept 2026
  • EniseyEnisey0:0Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
    DFirst League · 30 Aug 2026
  • Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1:3Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
    WFirst League · 22 Aug 2026
  • FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik0:2Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
    WFirst League · 14 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

UralLast matches Ural

In the last 5 matches Ural have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • Luki-EnergiyaLuki-Energiya2:1UralUral
    LCup · 10 Sept 2026
  • UralUral2:0KAMAZKAMAZ
    WFirst League · 06 Sept 2026
  • Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula2:2UralUral
    DFirst League · 29 Aug 2026
  • UralUral2:0TekstilshchikTekstilshchik
    WFirst League · 22 Aug 2026
  • Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1:1UralUral
    DFirst League · 14 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1191130-141628
2VelesVeles1071214-11322
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1061320-81219
4FC SochiFC Sochi1061318-12619
5UralUral953116-41218
6Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma953113-8518
7FC UFAFC UFA1045115-11417
8Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1142518-14414
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl935114-11314
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1134411-19-813
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik104067-13-612
12Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1032514-16-211
13LeningradetsLeningradets102449-14-510
14EniseyEnisey1024411-18-710
15ChelyabinskChelyabinsk92169-16-77
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik111468-17-97
17KAMAZKAMAZ101279-18-95
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1011810-22-124
League position 9 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 5 / 18
333%Wins56%5
556%Draws33%3
111%Losses11%1
1488%Goals scored100%16
11100%Goals conceded36%4
1478%Points100%18

Season statistic Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Y.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

UralUral

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 8 (1.6)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Referee R. Ziyakov

Lineups

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

UralUral

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

UralUral

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

← All football predictions