Sevilla vs Aston Villa Prediction

Sevilla host Aston Villa on 2 October 2026 at 21:30 in the 15th Antonio Puerta Trophy, a memorial tournament for the Andalusian club's academy product who died in 2007. Both sides arrive depleted by international duty. Sevilla lost six players to their national teams: Vlachodimos (Greece), Kochorashvili (Georgia), Suazo (Chile), Sangante (Senegal), Robbie Ure (Scotland), and Fran González (Spain U21). Aston Villa's absences run deeper—ten players departed, including McGinn, Cash, Manzambi, Lindelöf, Van-Bissaka, Mbaye, Jackson, Sudžuki, and Hemmings, affecting every line of the pitch.

Form and H2H

Sevilla began their La Liga season solidly. After seven rounds, Luis García's side sits fifth with 13 points and has tightened their defence, conceding fewer clear chances and grinding out results without dominant possession. They ran a three-part training match against their reserve squad on 24 September to maintain rhythm during the break. Aston Villa struggled early in the Premier League but found form before the international pause, beating Tottenham 3–2 away and scoring exactly three goals in three of their last four matches across all competitions. Unai Emery's attack finally clicked as the season progressed, though his squad depth will be tested here.

Best bet

Back Sevilla to win at 2.86 with 22Bet. The hosts hold a 12–2 record in the previous 14 editions of the Puerta Trophy and rarely surrender it. More decisive is the squad imbalance: Sevilla's six absences pale against Villa's ten, which forces Emery to field unfamiliar combinations across defence, midfield, and attack. Playing at Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán with tournament pedigree and a fresher XI gives García's side a clear edge.

Odds to watch

The draw at 3.62 with 22Bet holds value given the friendly context and personnel churn on both benches. Four of the last five Puerta Trophy editions finished with two goals or fewer in regular time, and Sevilla kept three clean sheets in that span. Expect a cautious affair as both managers rotate and blood reserve players. Villa's odds of 2.5 reflect their weakened state but could tempt those backing an upset from a side that showed attacking promise before the break.