Liga MX · Apertura - 11

Puebla vs Leon Prediction

0 : 1LIVE 45' · HTMexico
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 10 Oct 2026Updated: 10 Oct 2026, 02:00

Match preview

Puebla host Leon on 10 October 2026 at 04:00 in Liga MX. Leon sit fifth on 17 points after ten rounds, while Puebla occupy ninth with 14 points. Leon hold the superior goal difference at 14:11 against Puebla's 11:12. Over their last five matches, Leon won twice, drew twice, and lost once. Puebla won just once in the same stretch, scoring more than one goal in only one of five outings.

Form and H2H

Puebla average 1.20 goals for and 1.99 against at home across their last ten matches. Leon average 1.50 goals for and 0.90 against on the road. The head-to-head record shows Leon with three wins, Puebla with two wins, and one draw across their last six meetings. Leon won the most recent fixture 1-0 at Puebla. Both teams have injury concerns: Puebla's Kevin Velasco is doubtful and Eduardo Mustré is ruled out with an ankle injury. Leon's attacking core remains intact with Daniel Arcila, Diber Cambindo, Ismaël Díaz, and Jordi Cortizo all available.

Best Bet

Leon to win at 2.36 with 1xBet or 2.37 with 1Win. Leon enter as the stronger side by league position and season metrics, and they arrive unbeaten in their last three matches. Puebla have scored in only one of their last five games, and Leon's away form remains cautious with just two goals in their last three road matches. The previous meeting between these sides finished 1-0 to Leon, a scoreline that reflects the defensive nature both teams bring to this fixture.

Odds to Watch

The 1X2 market at 1xBet offers 2.88 for a Puebla win, 3.24 for a draw, and 2.36 for Leon. At 1Win, those prices are 2.96, 3.35, and 2.37 respectively. Under 2.5 goals is worth monitoring given Puebla's low output and Leon's cautious approach away from home. Three of the last six head-to-head meetings produced two goals or fewer.

Puebla vs Leon Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.883.242.36Place a bet
1Win2.963.352.37Place a bet
Best odds2.963.352.37
Average2.923.292.37
Lowest odds2.883.242.36
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for Puebla vs Leon

Date and time 10 October 2026 at 04:00

1X222.36
BTTSNo40%

Competitive fixture

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Puebla vs Leon Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

PueblaPueblaLast matchesLeonLeon
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
40%Over 1.5 goals80%
0%Over 2.5 goals40%
0%Over 3.5 goals20%
20%BTTS60%
20%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Puebla — Leon

In the last 8 meetings, Leon hold the edge — 2 wins for Puebla, 4 for Leon, 2 draws.

25% W — 225% D — 250% W — 4
  • PueblaPuebla0:1LeonLeon
    Liga MX · 11 Apr 2026
  • LeonLeon1:2PueblaPuebla
    Liga MX · 09 Nov 2025
  • LeonLeon1:0PueblaPuebla
    Liga MX · 12 Apr 2025
  • PueblaPuebla2:2LeonLeon
    Liga MX · 17 Jul 2024
  • LeonLeon2:1PueblaPuebla
    Liga MX · 17 Mar 2024
  • PueblaPuebla5:4LeonLeon
    Liga MX · 04 Nov 2023
  • LeonLeon2:0PueblaPuebla
    Liga MX · 15 Feb 2023
  • PueblaPuebla1:1LeonLeon
    Liga MX · 16 Jul 2022
100%Over 0.5100%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
63%BTTS63%
63%Puebla over 0.5100%

Betting profits Puebla vs Leon

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Puebla

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.78413
Match WinnerDraw-4.82213
Match WinnerLose-2.08713
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.22913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+4.65413
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.60613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.35713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.48613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.04913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.55413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.39913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.77413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.30913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.4611
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.8733

Leon

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+12.931015
Match WinnerDraw-7.99215
Match WinnerLose-9.16315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.611115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.86415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.94615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.60915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.80615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+4.421315
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-9.74215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+4.271315
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-10.86115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.671415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.6156
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.1656

Match statistics

4646%Possession %54%54
0.4635%Expected goals65%0.84
1071%Total shots29%4
457%Shots on target43%3
3100%Shots off target0%0
240%Corners60%3
00%Fouls100%3
00%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
22645%Passes55%272
20346%Accurate passes54%243
233%Saves67%4
467%Offsides33%2

Key events

PueblaLast matches Puebla

In the last 5 matches Puebla have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • Tigres UANLTigres UANL1:0PueblaPuebla
    LLiga MX · 27 Sept 2026
  • PueblaPuebla1:1Atlante FCAtlante FC
    DLiga MX · 19 Sept 2026
  • PueblaPuebla0:1TolucaToluca
    LLiga MX · 16 Sept 2026
  • NecaxaNecaxa0:1PueblaPuebla
    WLiga MX · 12 Sept 2026
  • Club AmericaClub America2:0PueblaPuebla
    LLiga MX · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
20%

LeonLast matches Leon

Leon are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • LeonLeon2:1FC JuarezFC Juarez
    WLiga MX · 28 Sept 2026
  • Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1:1LeonLeon
    DLiga MX · 21 Sept 2026
  • LeonLeon2:0Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
    WLiga MX · 15 Sept 2026
  • U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas3:1LeonLeon
    LLiga MX · 11 Sept 2026
  • LeonLeon1:0Club AmericaClub America
    WLeagues Cup · 06 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Puebla vs Leon Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1TolucaToluca1062223-121120
2Club AmericaClub America962121-101120
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1053217-10718
4Club QueretaroClub Queretaro952213-8517
5LeonLeon1052314-11317
6AtlasAtlas1052316-17-117
7Cruz AzulCruz Azul1051419-18116
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana942314-13114
9PueblaPuebla1042411-12-114
10MonterreyMonterrey941416-14213
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca1033415-11412
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1033414-16-212
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1033414-18-412
14Atlante FCAtlante FC1025312-15-311
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1024410-13-310
16Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1031610-15-510
17NecaxaNecaxa1022612-20-88
18FC JuarezFC Juarez101097-25-183
League position 9 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 5 / 18
440%Wins50%5
220%Draws20%2
440%Losses30%3
1179%Goals scored100%14
12100%Goals conceded92%11
1482%Points100%17

Season statistic Puebla vs Leon

PueblaPuebla

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

LeonLeon

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Halftime
  • Venue Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
  • Referee Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

PueblaPuebla

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

LeonLeon

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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