Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction

Northern Ireland host Ukraine in UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026 at 22:45 at Windsor Park in Belfast. Northern Ireland have won four of their last ten matches and drawn three, conceding 0.64 goals per game. Ukraine arrive with four wins in ten but five losses, shipping 1.30 goals per outing. The hosts are unbeaten in nine of their last ten Nations League fixtures. Ukraine have failed to win in three of their last four in the competition.

Form and H2H

Northern Ireland beat Ukraine 3-0 away on 2 October 2026, then drew 0-0 at home to Georgia five days later. They have not conceded a goal in four Nations League rounds and held opponents to under 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten home matches in the tournament. Ukraine lost 2-1 to Hungary on 5 October after the heavy defeat to Northern Ireland. In eight of their last ten Nations League games, Ukraine have scored under 1.5 goals. Head-to-head: Northern Ireland won 2-0 in June 2016, Ukraine won 1-0 in June 2021, and Northern Ireland won 3-0 in October 2026.

Best bet

Northern Ireland to win or draw (Asian Handicap 0). The hosts have conceded just 0.64 goals per game in their last ten and kept clean sheets in four straight Nations League matches. Ukraine have scored under 1.5 in eight of their last ten in the tournament. Northern Ireland's xG of 1.34 per match in four Nations League games outpaces Ukraine's 0.89. At 1xBet, Northern Ireland win is 2.45 and the draw is 3.16, making the handicap a sensible hedge against a low-scoring home result.

Odds to watch

Northern Ireland win trades at 2.45 with 1xBet. The draw sits at 3.16. Ukraine win is 3.26. Under 2.5 goals is the favoured total market. Northern Ireland's individual total under 1 goal is worth monitoring given their recent output, while Ukraine under 1.5 reflects their blunt attacking form in Nations League play.