Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction

- : -31 October 2026 at 15:30Portugal
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 30 Oct 2026

Match preview

Moreirense host Estrela on 31 October 2026 at 18:30 in a Primeira Liga clash where the hosts arrive with genuine momentum. Moreirense beat Estoril 3-1 recently and sit hungry for a push into the top half, though their home record remains patchy. Tiago Andrade picked up a knock, so Alvaro Martinez steps in. Estrela arrive in freefall, losing three straight including a 2-0 defeat to Casa Pia, and have not kept a clean sheet in recent matches. The visitors have no fresh injury concerns, with Souza and Mincarelli both available to compete for places.

Form and H2H

Moreirense's last ten at home show three wins, two draws, and five losses, averaging 1.10 goals for and 1.69 against. Estrela's away form reads three wins, four draws, and three losses, averaging 1.59 goals for and 1.80 against. The head-to-head tells a mixed story: Moreirense won 4-2 in May 2023 and 1-0 in November 2023, but the pair have drawn or lost since, including a 2-2 in April 2024, a 2-1 Estrela win in September 2024, and draws of 1-1 and 0-0 in March and December 2025. Estrela's away matches have regularly produced goals, and both sides carry attacking threat despite Estrela's defensive fragility.

Best Bet

The prediction is Moreirense 2-2 Estrela. This correct score reflects Moreirense's attacking intent at home against a Estrela side that cannot defend. At 1xBet, the draw pays 3.39, offering value if you expect the sides to cancel each other out. Over 2.5 goals also appeals given Estrela's leaky backline and Moreirense's recent form. Both teams to score is a strong play with Estrela capable of finding the net despite their run.

Odds to Watch

1xBet offers Moreirense at 3.04, the draw at 3.39, and Estrela at 2.45. 1Win prices Moreirense at 2.83, the draw at 3.25, and Estrela at 2.51. The draw holds appeal given the recent history between these sides and Estrela's ability to score away from home. Moreirense's home struggles mean backing them outright carries risk despite their current form.

Moreirense vs Estrela Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet3.043.392.45Place a bet
Best odds3.043.392.45
Average3.043.392.45
Lowest odds3.043.392.45
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1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela

Date and time 31 October 2026 at 15:30

1X222.4539%
DCX/268%
BTTSYes50%
1 32%X 29%2 39%

Estrela win

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Moreirense vs Estrela Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MoreirenseMoreirenseLast matchesEstrelaEstrela
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Moreirense — Estrela

In the last 8 meetings, Moreirense hold the edge — 3 wins for Moreirense, 1 for Estrela, 4 draws.

38% W — 350% D — 413% W — 1
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 May 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 20 Dec 2025
  • MoreirenseMoreirense1:1EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 Mar 2025
  • EstrelaEstrela2:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 28 Sept 2024
  • MoreirenseMoreirense2:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 07 Apr 2024
  • EstrelaEstrela0:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 11 Nov 2023
  • EstrelaEstrela2:4MoreirenseMoreirense
    Segunda Liga · 06 May 2023
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:0EstrelaEstrela
    Segunda Liga · 31 Dec 2022
75%Over 0.575%
63%Over 1.563%
50%Over 2.550%
63%BTTS63%
75%Moreirense over 0.563%

Betting profits Moreirense vs Estrela

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Moreirense

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.27412
Match WinnerDraw-3.59212
Match WinnerLose+0.19612
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.21912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.37312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.12710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.57510
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.89712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.52512
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.1758
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.8458
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.4859
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.7049
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.0005
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.8655
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.3033
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003

Estrela

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.41411
Match WinnerDraw+4.92411
Match WinnerLose-0.37311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.3289
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.0239
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.19710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.16310
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.0969
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.4359
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.6089
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.1319
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.16510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.85510
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+8.2227
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.3157
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.4311

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

MoreirenseLast matches Moreirense

In the last 5 matches Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • EstorilEstoril1:3MoreirenseMoreirense
    WPrimeira Liga · 25 Oct 2026
  • AVSAVS1:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    LTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:1GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
    LPrimeira Liga · 09 Oct 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC1:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    DPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:1MaritimoMaritimo
    WPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

EstrelaLast matches Estrela

In the last 5 matches Estrela have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Casa PiaCasa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 24 Oct 2026
  • FazendenseFazendense1:2EstrelaEstrela
    WTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • AroucaArouca1:0EstrelaEstrela
    LPrimeira Liga · 11 Oct 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
    LPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Rio AveRio Ave3:3EstrelaEstrela
    DPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Moreirense vs Estrela Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto990021-41727
2BenficaBenfica971126-81822
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121-111018
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113-6718
5AroucaArouca952212-7517
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213-11217
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238-7114
8AlvercaAlverca932413-13011
9SC BragaSC Braga93249-11-211
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411-16-511
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314-11310
12EstrelaEstrela924314-17-310
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510-1008
14MaritimoMaritimo92259-19-108
15NacionalNacional921610-18-87
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165-17-127
17Rio AveRio Ave92168-21-137
18EstorilEstoril90275-15-102
League position 10 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 12 / 18
333%Wins22%2
222%Draws44%4
444%Losses33%3
1179%Goals scored100%14
1694%Goals conceded100%17
11100%Points91%10

Season statistic Moreirense vs Estrela

MoreirenseMoreirense

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

EstrelaEstrela

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães
  • Referee Joao Pinheiro

Lineups

MoreirenseMoreirense

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

EstrelaEstrela

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Moreirense

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Estrela

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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