Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction

Mirassol host Botafogo on 19 September 2026 at 23:00 in round 28 of the Brazilian Serie A. Both clubs sit in the relegation fight with only three points separating them: Mirassol occupy 15th place on 29 points, Botafogo 14th on 32 points. The gap to safety is tight enough that neither can afford a slip.

Mirassol have climbed out of a nine-match winless run. They beat Coritiba 2–1 and came from 0–2 down to draw 2–2 with Vitória. Botafogo won 3–2 against Grêmio in their last league outing, but have lost three of their last six matches. New manager Tite took charge after that Grêmio victory. Home advantage matters here: Mirassol have drawn four of their last six domestic games and play noticeably more stable football at their stadium. Botafogo arrive weakened by recent form and cannot expect to dominate.

Form and H2H

The last three head-to-head meetings show Botafogo with a slight edge but consistently competitive fixtures. In April 2026, Botafogo won 3–2. Before that came a 0–0 draw. In September 2025, the teams produced a 3–3 thriller. Both sides scored in two of those three matches, with five and six goals across the two most open encounters.

Mirassol average 1.15 goals per game this season. Botafogo average 1.46. Both teams boast high shot conversion rates: Mirassol around 70 percent, Botafogo 69 percent. Mirassol's home record shows one win, five draws, and four losses in their last ten, with an average of 0.90 goals for and 1.70 against. Botafogo away have three wins, three draws, and four losses in their last ten, averaging 1.00 goals for and 1.70 against.

Best bet

Both teams to score. Mirassol have shown they can create pressure at home and proved their character by fighting back against Vitória. Botafogo scored three against Grêmio and netted three in the most recent head-to-head. The fixture history and current attacking output both point to goals at both ends. This is the main play.

Odds to watch

Over 2.5 goals is a secondary option. The average combined output for these teams sits between 2.6 and 3.0 goals per match. Historical data suggests around 63 percent of comparable fixtures finish with three or more goals. The 3–2 and 3–3 results from recent meetings underline the open nature of this matchup. Betting on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals covers the most likely outcome.