Lyon vs Nice Prediction

Lyon host Nice on 18 October 2026 at 21:45 in Ligue 1's seventh round. Lyon sit fourth with 11 points after six matches and have built one of the league's tightest defences, conceding 0.67 goals per game. Nice arrive winless in nine of their last ten away league matches and have managed just 0.83 goals per game this season, the third-lowest output in Ligue 1. Lyon will be without Loïs Openda through injury, a significant loss to their attacking variety. Nice lost Laurent Aberguel, Moïz Bombito, and Antoine Mendy to injury.

Form and H2H

Lyon's last-ten home record reads five wins, three draws, two losses, averaging 1.80 goals for and 1.00 against. Nice's last-ten away form is three wins, four draws, three losses, with 0.80 goals for and 0.90 against. In their most recent league outing, Lyon fell 1–2 away at Lens after a red card. Nice beat Strasbourg 2–1 at home before this trip. Across their last six head-to-head meetings between 2011 and 2013, Lyon won four, drew one, and lost one, outscoring Nice 12–6.

Best bet

Under 3.5 goals. Nice have not breached 3.5 in any of their six opening league matches this season. Away from home, they favour a closed defensive shape: in nine of their last ten away games, they scored under 1.5 goals and attempted fewer than 12.5 shots on target. Lyon's defence ranks joint-first in the league for goals conceded per match. In nine of Nice's last ten away league games, the total stayed under 3.5. Lyon's loss of Openda removes a key attacking weapon, and Nice's low-tempo approach makes a high-scoring contest unlikely.

Odds to watch

Lyon are heavy favourites at the 1X2. The home win sits around 1.67 with bookmakers, while the draw trades at 4.15 and a Nice win at 4.80. On the spread, Lyon –1.5 is priced at 2.65 compared to Nice +1.5 at 1.42. Both teams to score is available at 1.65 for yes and 2.15 for no. Lyon's individual total over 1.5 goals is 1.65, while Nice over 0.5 is 1.48.