UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 13 Oct 2026Updated: 15 Oct 2026, 18:40

Match preview

Lech Poznan host Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League on 15 October 2026 at 19:45. Lech bounced back from a 4-0 defeat to Crystal Palace with consecutive domestic wins over Radomiak Radom and Slask Wroclaw. The Polish side have won all four recent home matches, averaging 3.75 goals per game at their stadium. Bayer Leverkusen arrive on a three-game winning streak, including a 4-3 victory over Mainz. The German visitors average 2.5 goals across recent outings and have conceded in 83% of their away fixtures this season. Midfielder Radoslaw Murawski is suspended for Lech. Doue and Kofane are unavailable for Leverkusen through injury.

Form and H2H

Lech's last ten matches show six wins, two draws, and two losses at home, with an average of 2.70 goals for and 1.50 against. Bayer Leverkusen's recent away record reads seven wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams carry attacking intent into this fixture, with Leverkusen's defensive vulnerabilities on the road creating space for Lech's in-form forwards. Patrik Walemark has scored twice off the bench for Lech and is pushing for a starting role.

Best Bet

Lech Poznan 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen. Both sides possess the firepower to score multiple goals, and Leverkusen's away-day frailties align with Lech's home potency. A draw offers value at 1xBet 4.46 and Mostbet 4.33, while the home win at Mostbet 4.4 and 1xBet 4.71 rewards Lech's recent domestic dominance.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals sits at the heart of this preview. Both teams score regularly, and Leverkusen's defensive record away from home suggests multiple goals are likely. Back the draw at 1Win 4.35, Melbet 4.36, or Mostbet 4.33 if you expect the sides to cancel each other out. The away win at Melbet 1.65, 1Win 1.65, or Mostbet 1.64 remains available for those backing Leverkusen's quality to overcome Lech's home advantage.

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet6.155.151.43Place a bet
1xBet5.224.821.58Place a bet
1Win6.55.11.44Place a bet
Mostbet6.451.47Place a bet
22Bet6.085.071.47Place a bet
Best odds6.505.151.58
Average6.075.031.48
Lowest odds5.224.821.43
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

Welcome Bonus up to 600% (crypto account) or up to 500% (any other currency) + 500 FS across first 4 deposits

1X2 prediction for Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen

Date and time 15 October 2026 at 17:45

1X221.4365%
O/UO 1.5100%
DCX/282%
BTTSYes60%
1 18%X 17%2 65%

Bayer Leverkusen win

Place a bet on this match

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Lech PoznanLech PoznanLast matchesBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals100%
100%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Over 3.5 goals60%
80%BTTS40%
80%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Lech Poznan — Bayer Leverkusen

In the last 1 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen hold the edge — 0 wins for Lech Poznan, 1 for Bayer Leverkusen, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • Lech PoznanLech Poznan0:4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    UEFA Europa League · 15 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
0%Lech Poznan over 0.5100%

Betting profits Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Lech Poznan

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.961014
Match WinnerDraw-9.96114
Match WinnerLose-5.51314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.0633
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.551214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-8.40214
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.961214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.60714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+2.39714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.61714
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.201113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.45213
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+8.14513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.93813
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.4913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.1123

Bayer Leverkusen

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.111014
Match WinnerDraw-3.38214
Match WinnerLose-6.41214
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.27911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.94611
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.96613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.91713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.90712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+2.021012
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-8.0008
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+4.5588
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.92911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.25211
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.2211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.0001

Match statistics

3939%Possession %61%61
0.549%Expected goals91%5.25
1031%Total shots69%22
323%Shots on target77%10
433%Shots off target67%8
444%Corners56%5
524%Fouls76%16
133%Yellow cards67%2
00%Red cards0%0
37539%Passes61%586
29636%Accurate passes64%534
770%Saves30%3
120%Offsides80%4

Key events

Lech PoznanLast matches Lech Poznan

In the last 5 matches Lech Poznan have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1:4Lech PoznanLech Poznan
    WEkstraklasa · 10 Oct 2026
  • Lech PoznanLech Poznan2:2Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus
    DFriendlies Clubs · 03 Oct 2026
  • Lech PoznanLech Poznan5:1Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
    WEkstraklasa · 20 Sept 2026
  • Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace4:0Lech PoznanLech Poznan
    LUEFA Europa League · 17 Sept 2026
  • Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze2:1Lech PoznanLech Poznan
    LEkstraklasa · 12 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.4
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS
80%

Bayer LeverkusenLast matches Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.8 goals per game.

80% W — 420% D — 10% L — 0
  • FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053:4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    WBundesliga · 10 Oct 2026
  • Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen2:0RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
    WBundesliga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen2:0CeljeCelje
    WUEFA Europa League · 16 Sept 2026
  • FC AugsburgFC Augsburg2:2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
    DBundesliga · 12 Sept 2026
  • Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen4:0Union BerlinUnion Berlin
    WBundesliga · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins80%4
120%Draws20%1
240%Losses0%0
1286%Goals scored100%14
10100%Goals conceded50%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen

Lech PoznanLech Poznan

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 12 (2.4)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 14 (2.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Stadion Miejski, Poznan
  • Referee Milos Milanovic

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Lech PoznanLech Poznan

  • A. Gholizadeh — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • A. Sayyadmanesh — Unavailable. Groin Injury
  • R. Murawski — Unavailable. Red Card
  • João Moutinho — Unavailable. Inactive
  • A. Douglas — Unavailable. Ankle Injury

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

  • J. Hofmann — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • V. Boniface — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • G. Doué — Unavailable. Calf Injury
  • T. Oermann — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • E. Ben Seghir — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • M. Culbreath — Unavailable. Foot Injury
  • K. Eichhorn — Unavailable. Illness
  • Christian Kofane — Unavailable. Muscle Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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