J1 League · Regular Season - 9

Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

1 : 0LIVE 53' · 2HJapan
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 09 Oct 2026Updated: 09 Oct 2026, 11:19

Match preview

Kashima sit second in the J1 League table with 20 teams, but their position masks inconsistency. Coach Toru Oniki's side alternates wins with sudden collapses that expose defensive fragility when it matters. A 3-1 away victory over Ventforet Kofu, with goals from Leo Seara, Minato Yoshida, and Sho Omori, offered temporary cover for deeper problems. Before that win, Kashima lost three straight: a 4-2 hammering at Mito Hollyhock, a 2-1 home defeat to Vissel Kobe, and a 1-0 loss to Urawa Red Diamonds. Gamba Osaka arrive as the away side in a matchup where Kashima's attack must compensate for defensive lapses if they want to build on recent form.

Form and H2H

Kashima have won six of their last ten at home, drawing once and losing three, averaging 2.49 goals for and 1.56 against. Gamba Osaka's away record over the same span shows three wins, three draws, and four losses, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per match. The head-to-head record tilts toward Gamba: they won four of the last six meetings between these sides, including a 2-0 victory at home in June 2015 and a 2-1 win away in September that year. Kashima's only recent H2H success came in April 2014 with a 2-0 home win.

Best bet

Kashima's home record and attacking threat make the home win the primary angle. At 1xBet the odds sit at 1.76, with 1Win offering 1.72 and 22Bet at 1.73. Kashima have shown they can score at home and need the points to maintain their title credentials despite defensive wobbles.

Odds to watch

The draw holds value given Gamba's away form and Kashima's recent inconsistency. 1xBet price the draw at 4.03, 1Win at 3.87, and 22Bet at 3.98. Gamba's away record includes three draws in ten matches, suggesting they can frustrate Kashima's attack and escape with a point. Kickoff is 9 October 2026 at 13:00.

Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Kashima vs Gamba Osaka

Date and time 9 October 2026 at 13:00

1X22
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

KashimaKashimaLast matchesGamba OsakaGamba Osaka
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Over 3.5 goals60%
80%BTTS40%
80%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Kashima — Gamba Osaka

In the last 8 meetings, Kashima hold the edge — 4 wins for Kashima, 1 for Gamba Osaka, 3 draws.

50% W — 438% D — 313% W — 1
  • KashimaKashima0:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    J1 League · 05 Oct 2025
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka0:1KashimaKashima
    J1 League · 31 May 2025
  • KashimaKashima0:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    J1 League · 26 Jun 2024
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1:2KashimaKashima
    J1 League · 28 Apr 2024
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka2:1KashimaKashima
    J1 League · 24 Jun 2023
  • KashimaKashima4:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    J1 League · 29 Apr 2023
  • KashimaKashima0:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    J1 League · 05 Nov 2022
  • KashimaKashima2:0Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    Emperor Cup · 13 Jul 2022
63%Over 0.563%
50%Over 1.550%
38%Over 2.538%
25%BTTS25%
63%Kashima over 0.525%

Betting profits Kashima vs Gamba Osaka

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Kashima

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.31813
Match WinnerDraw-9.25113
Match WinnerLose+1.23413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.641113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.72213
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.90810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.56410
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.97913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-5.84413
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+10.76713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-5.30613
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+6.0738
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.3458
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.1567
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-3.3537
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.4911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001

Gamba Osaka

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.99413
Match WinnerDraw+5.70513
Match WinnerLose-3.13413
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.69713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.83613
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.23712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.87612
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+4.09614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.96814
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.88811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.91311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.0968
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.7738
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+6.28311
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.40811
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.8311

Match statistics

5555%Possession %45%45
969%Total shots31%4
1100%Shots on target0%0
457%Shots off target43%3
00%Corners100%1
953%Fouls47%8
00%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
27355%Passes45%226
21458%Accurate passes42%154
2100%Offsides0%0

Key events

KashimaLast matches Kashima

In the last 5 matches Kashima have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • KashimaKashima3:1Ventforet KofuVentforet Kofu
    WEmperor Cup · 23 Sept 2026
  • Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale3:3KashimaKashima
    DJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026
  • KashimaKashima7:1Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 15 Sept 2026
  • Vissel KobeVissel Kobe2:1KashimaKashima
    LJ1 League · 11 Sept 2026
  • KashimaKashima0:1UrawaUrawa
    LJ1 League · 06 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Gamba OsakaLast matches Gamba Osaka

In the last 5 matches Gamba Osaka have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol3:3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
    DJ-League Cup · 03 Oct 2026
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka5:0Tokushima VortisTokushima Vortis
    WEmperor Cup · 23 Sept 2026
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka0:1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
    LJ1 League · 20 Sept 2026
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka4:1Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 15 Sept 2026
  • Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka0:2FC TokyoFC Tokyo
    LJ1 League · 12 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe861112-5719
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol860217-12518
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima852120-61417
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia852121-101117
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo852114-8617
6Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos842213-9414
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale834116-12413
8KashimaKashima841317-16113
9Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama841311-10113
10UrawaUrawa840416-18-212
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka83237-12-511
12Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse83146-8-210
13Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock823311-1109
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga822411-15-48
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki822410-15-58
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka81348-14-66
17Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus82067-14-76
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka81169-12-34
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy80444-12-84
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba81167-18-114
League position 8 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 16 / 20
450%Wins13%1
113%Draws38%3
338%Losses50%4
17100%Goals scored47%8
16100%Goals conceded88%14
13100%Points46%6

Season statistic Kashima vs Gamba Osaka

KashimaKashima

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 14 (2.8)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 1

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 12 (2.4)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Second Half
  • Venue Mercari Stadium, Kashima
  • Referee Takafumi Mikuriya

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

KashimaKashima

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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