Jong AZ vs Den Bosch Prediction

Jong AZ hosts Den Bosch on 9 October 2026 at 21:00 in the Eerste Divisie. Jong AZ has won three of its last five matches and scored in every one of them, including a 6-3 demolition of Dordrecht and a 4-1 win over Volendam. Den Bosch arrives in poor form: one win, one draw, and three losses across five games, with no goals in three away matches. The home side averages 2.9 goals per game over ten matches; the visitors average 1.5 away from home.

Form and H2H

Jong AZ has taken 6 points from its last two home games, scoring 6 times and conceding twice. The team created 2.8 big chances per match over five games and landed 6.0 shots on target per outing, though it has overperformed its expected goals (15 actual vs 7.46 xG). Den Bosch conceded only one goal in its last two matches but failed to score in three consecutive away fixtures. In five head-to-head meetings, the teams have produced mixed results: a 6-0 Jong AZ win, a 3-2 Jong AZ victory, two 2-2 draws, and a goalless draw. Three of five H2H matches finished with at least three combined goals.

Best Bet

Over 3.5 goals. Jong AZ's home firepower and Den Bosch's weak away defence create space for a high-scoring match. The hosts have scored at least two goals in four of five recent outings. Den Bosch has allowed opponents to create regular chances despite conceding fewer goals than expected (6 actual vs 9.69 xGA), signalling vulnerability to Jong AZ's attacking intensity. A 2-1 scoreline fits multiple recent patterns and still clears the line.

Odds to Watch

Jong AZ to win at 1.87 with 1xBet or 1.86 with 1Win reflects the home advantage and superior recent form. The draw sits at 4.33 (1xBet) or 4.32 (1Win), a price that undervalues Den Bosch's defensive solidity in the last two games. Den Bosch at 3.19 (both 1xBet and 1Win) offers value only if the visitors can replicate their recent defensive discipline while Jong AZ misfires in front of goal, an unlikely combination given the hosts' scoring streak.