France vs Italy Prediction

France host Italy at Stade de France on 2 October 2026 at 21:45 in a UEFA Nations League fixture. Les Bleus arrive unbeaten after consecutive 1-0 wins over Turkey and Belgium, while Italy recovered from a 2-0 loss to Belgium by thrashing Turkey 4-1 in their second match. France are the pick at 3-1.

Kylian Mbappe remains unavailable, but Ousmane Dembele and Michael Olise should return to the starting XI alongside Roma midfielder Manu Kone, who was rested in the Belgium match. Italy manager Roberto Mancini is unlikely to rotate, with Bryan Cristante, Manuel Locatelli, Federico Dimarco and Leonardo Spinazzola all sidelined.

Form and Head to Head

France have won 67% of their last six home matches, averaging 2.50 goals per game. Italy have won five of their last six away fixtures, scoring 2.00 goals per game while conceding just 0.50. Both Teams to Score has landed in all five of their recent encounters.

Best Bet

France to win. The hosts' attacking reinforcements and home advantage outweigh Italy's solid away record. Dembele's return adds creative thrust that the Azzurri's depleted midfield cannot match.

Odds to Watch

No partner bookmaker prices are currently available for this fixture. Bettors should monitor odds from Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet and 22Bet as the match approaches.