Fiorentina host Torino on 5 September at the Artemio Franchi stadium in Florence, kicking off at 16:00 Moscow time in Serie A Matchday 3. The hosts have struggled in front of goal this season, losing 0-4 to Roma and 0-3 to Frosinone in their opening fixtures. Over their last ten league matches, Fiorentina have scored two or more goals just once. Despite averaging 17 shots per game in their first two matches, only four found the target, with expected goals averaging just 1.25 per outing. Torino arrive as visitors but have defensive vulnerabilities—in 8 of their last 10 away league games, opponents have scored at least twice. The Granata's expected goals against stands at 2.02 across their opening two fixtures, suggesting their backline remains vulnerable to pressure.
Form and Head-to-Head
Fiorentina's recent home record shows four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches, averaging 2.02 goals for and 1.62 against. Torino's away form is considerably weaker: three wins, two draws, and five losses over the same period, with just 0.87 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. The historical head-to-head between these sides has been competitive, with their last six meetings producing draws and narrow results, though Fiorentina won 2-0 at home in January 2016.
Best Bet
Fiorentina Under 1.5 Goals represents the primary selection. The hosts have finished nine of their last ten Serie A matches with one goal or none. Even accounting for their cup victory over Benevento (4-1 against a weaker opponent in a different competition), the pattern in the league remains clear. Melbet offers this at 1.91, 1xBet at 2.0, 1Win at 1.9, Mostbet at 1.94, and 22Bet at 1.998.
Odds to Watch
Fiorentina's win odds reflect their inconsistency: 1.91 (Melbet), 2.0 (1xBet), 1.9 (1Win), 1.94 (Mostbet), and 1.998 (22Bet). The draw is priced at 3.24 (Melbet), 3.42 (1xBet), 3.25 (1Win), 3.23 (Mostbet), and 3.415 (22Bet), historically a common result in this fixture. Torino's away win carries longer odds: 4.48 (Melbet), 4.5 (1xBet), 4.3 (1Win), 4.4 (Mostbet), and 4.5 (22Bet).
