Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction

Juventus travel to Florence on 8 November 2026 at 22:45 to face Fiorentina in Serie A's 11th round. The pick is Juventus to win. Luciano Spalletti's side beat Napoli 2–0 last weekend and followed that with a 2–1 Europa League win over AZ Alkmaar midweek. Fiorentina, despite a 4–2 victory over Sassuolo in their most recent match, remain in crisis under Paolo Vanoli. The Florentines spent heavily in the summer transfer window but failed to build a cohesive unit. They press high with a shallow defensive line and look to win the ball back quickly, but their press lacks quality. When opponents break the first line, Fiorentina's defence opens up for counterattacks. A five-match winless run preceded the Sassuolo win, which offers little reassurance against a stronger opponent.

Form and H2H

Juventus have won just once in their last four direct meetings with Fiorentina. The Turin side remain outside the European places but have steadied their ship after a 2–0 loss to Genoa forced Spalletti to regroup. Their defence is among Serie A's stingiest, conceding the fewest clear-cut chances in the division. In six away matches, Juventus kept a clean sheet only once, so Fiorentina should create at least one opening. Fiorentina have scored in every match under Vanoli and played over 2.5 goals in 88 per cent of games. Against top-ten sides, however, the Florentines have lost five of six encounters with just one draw. Key absences hurt both teams: Fiorentina miss centre-back Marina Pongrácic, defender Luca Ranieri, and midfielder Arturo Atta. Juventus are without Manuel Locatelli, Kenan Yıldız, and Kévin Théuram, though Weston McKennie returned from injury in time for the trip to Florence.

Best bet

Juventus to win at 2.03 with Melbet, 2.1 with 1xBet, 2.14 with 1Win, or 2.09 with Mostbet. Spalletti has restored order after the Genoa embarrassment, and his squad arrives in better shape than Fiorentina, who remain adrift in class and unresolved in their structural problems. The Sassuolo win should not mask deeper issues. Fiorentina's record against top-ten opponents—five losses and one draw in six matches—tells the real story.

Odds to watch

Over 2.5 goals appeals given Fiorentina's attacking profile under Vanoli and Juventus's vulnerability in away matches. The Florentines have scored in every game and played over 2.5 in the vast majority of fixtures. Referee Andrea Colombo has issued more than three cards in only two of Juventus's last ten matches and has not awarded a penalty in Serie A for seven consecutive games, so expect a tightly controlled contest without excessive cards or spot-kick drama.