FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction

FC Sochi host Shinnik Yaroslavl on 15 November 2026 at 17:00 in the First League. Sochi are heavy favorites at 1.7 with 1xBet, while Yaroslavl sit at 4.98 and a draw prices at 3.86. The pick is FC Sochi under 2 goals.

Sochi's recent form has been erratic. They lost 0–3 away to Yenisey on 8 November and 0–2 at home to Uralsk on 1 November, yet won 3–1 away at Tekstilshchik on 24 October. In their last ten matches across all competitions, Sochi scored under two goals in seven matches and exactly two in two others. Yaroslavl's defense has been tight: in their last ten First League matches, they conceded a maximum of one goal in eight games and two in the other two, averaging just 0.9 goals per match. Sochi will struggle to break through.

Yaroslavl beat Ufa 2–1 at home on 7 November but lost 0–2 away to Chelyabinsk on 1 November. In nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, Yaroslavl stayed under 3.5 goals. The away side's defensive discipline makes a low-scoring contest likely.

Form and H2H

Sochi have not lost in seven of their last ten First League matches. Yaroslavl have failed to win in seven of their last ten First League matches. Head-to-head records show mixed results: the sides drew 1–1 in October 2018 and 0–0 twice in 2019, Sochi won 2–0 in August 2024, Yaroslavl won 2–1 in March 2025, and they drew 2–2 in July 2026.

Sochi's home record shows five wins, one draw, and four losses in their last ten matches, with an average of 0.99 goals for and 1.20 against. Yaroslavl's away record across the same span is four wins, three draws, and three losses, averaging 1.00 goals for and 1.10 against. The profit trend for Sochi's match winner bets sits at 4.73, while under 1.5 goals has returned 0.87 in profit. Yaroslavl's away match winner trend is 0.64 positive, and their under 0.5 team total has returned 0.83.

Best bet

FC Sochi under 2 goals. Sochi have scored under two goals in nine of their last twelve matches and face a Yaroslavl side that concedes less than one goal per game on average in the First League. The home side's recent blanks against Uralsk and Yenisey, combined with Yaroslavl's defensive solidity, make a low-scoring result the most likely outcome. Back this at 1xBet's home win price of 1.7 if Sochi win 1–0 or 2–0, or take the under directly where available.

Odds to watch

Sochi win is priced at 1.7 with 1xBet. A draw sits at 3.86. Yaroslavl win is 4.98. Sochi's recent home form and Yaroslavl's weak away record in the First League make the home win the most backed outcome, though the low-scoring nature of both teams' recent matches suggests value may lie in backing under 2 goals or a narrow Sochi victory.