Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

Excelsior host Groningen on 11 October 2026 at 17:45 in the Eredivisie. The hosts emerge from a 2-2 draw with Ajax before the international break and sit on a three-game winless streak. Groningen arrive off a 3-0 victory over Zwolle and have won half their last ten matches. Excelsior's home record drives this fixture: they score 2.79 goals per game at De Kuip and have found the net in every one of their last ten home appearances. Groningen concede 2.00 per game on the road, which aligns with Excelsior's attacking threat. Kasey Bos returns fully fit for the hosts after missing Australia's friendly against Brazil. Tygo Land may earn a starting role for Groningen after scoring as a substitute against Zwolle.

Form and H2H

Excelsior have won six of their last ten matches at home, with two draws and two losses, averaging 2.79 goals for and 1.40 against. Groningen's away form reads four wins, three draws, and three losses from ten, with 1.60 goals for and 1.70 against per game. The head-to-head record between these sides spans back to 2011. Groningen won 2-0 in September 2011 and again in March 2012 by 1-0. The sides drew 1-1 twice, in October 2014 and February 2015. Groningen won 2-0 again in August 2015. Excelsior's sole victory came in March 2016, a 2-1 home win. Excelsior's home profit trend on the match winner stands at 8.35, while Groningen's away match winner trend sits at minus 2.48.

Best Bet

Excelsior to Win at 2.56 with 1Win offers the clearest edge. The hosts have scored in all ten recent home matches and average 2.79 goals per game at De Kuip. Groningen concede 2.00 per game away from home. Excelsior's home attacking form and Groningen's road vulnerability combine to make the home win the primary selection. The prediction is Excelsior 2-1 Groningen.

Odds to Watch

The Draw at 3.6 with 1Win holds value given Groningen's away form of three draws in ten matches. Groningen's 3-0 win over Zwolle shows they can compete, and Excelsior's three-game winless run introduces some uncertainty. Over 1.5 Goals carries strong backing from both sides' attacking averages and recent scoring patterns. Both Teams to Score aligns with Excelsior's perfect home BTTS record and Groningen's 80% away BTTS rate across their recent fixtures.