Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 5

Estoril vs Arouca Prediction

- : -7 September 2026 at 22:15Portugal
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 06 Sept 2026Updated: 09 Sept 2026, 10:03

Match preview

Estoril Praia host Arouca at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in the fifth round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. The contrast in form could hardly be starker: Estoril sit 17th with just one point from four matches, while Arouca occupy third place with nine points. Estoril have conceded in every league game this season and managed only two goals, both from Yanis Begraoui. Arouca arrive in confident mood, having won three of their opening four fixtures and scoring seven goals while conceding just three. Manager Vasco Matos has adjusted Estoril's shape to a 3-4-3 following their performance against Benfica, while Vasco Seabra has maintained a stable 4-2-3-1 formation that has yielded impressive results.

Form and Head-to-Head

Estoril's recent record reads W1-D4-L5 over their last ten outings, averaging 0.79 goals for and 1.37 against. Arouca show the opposite trajectory with W5-D2-L3, averaging 1.26 goals scored and 0.90 conceded. The head-to-head history between these sides is particularly revealing: their last four league meetings have all produced goals at both ends, including a 4-3 Estoril victory and a 3-2 Arouca win last season. Both teams have scored in each of those encounters, with 19 goals across four matches. Arouca's Iván Barbero has been prolific early in the campaign, scoring in three of four matches, while Begraoui has netted both of Estoril's league goals this term.

Best Bet

Both teams to score represents the most compelling angle. Estoril have conceded in every league match this season and will be forced to attack at home under pressure to finally register a win. Arouca's attacking threat is formidable, with Barbero leading the line and multiple midfield options including Espen van Ee and Nabil Djouahra providing support. The visitors have scored in three of their four fixtures. The historical pattern is equally convincing: both teams have found the net in each of the last four league meetings. With Estoril needing to create chances and Arouca arriving in excellent form, a match with opportunities at both ends is highly probable.

Odds to Watch

No partner prices are currently available for this fixture. Bettors are encouraged to check live odds with their preferred operators as kickoff approaches. The match takes place today at 22:15.

Estoril vs Arouca Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet2.793.432.63Place a bet
Best odds2.793.432.63
Average2.793.432.63
Lowest odds2.793.432.63
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Estoril vs Arouca

Date and time 7 September 2026 at 22:15

1X222.63
BTTSNo40%

Competitive fixture

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Estoril vs Arouca Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

EstorilEstorilLast matchesAroucaArouca
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals80%
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
0%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS20%
60%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Estoril — Arouca

In the last 8 meetings, Arouca hold the edge — 3 wins for Estoril, 4 for Arouca, 1 draws.

38% W — 313% D — 150% W — 4
  • AroucaArouca3:2EstorilEstoril
    Primeira Liga · 06 Apr 2026
  • EstorilEstoril4:3AroucaArouca
    Primeira Liga · 07 Nov 2025
  • AroucaArouca1:1EstorilEstoril
    Primeira Liga · 16 Mar 2025
  • EstorilEstoril4:1AroucaArouca
    Primeira Liga · 26 Oct 2024
  • EstorilEstoril1:2AroucaArouca
    Primeira Liga · 20 Jan 2024
  • AroucaArouca4:3EstorilEstoril
    Primeira Liga · 13 Aug 2023
  • EstorilEstoril2:0AroucaArouca
    Primeira Liga · 15 May 2023
  • AroucaArouca2:0EstorilEstoril
    Primeira Liga · 07 Jan 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
63%Over 2.563%
75%BTTS75%
88%Estoril over 0.588%

Betting profits Estoril vs Arouca

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Estoril

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-13.00013
Match WinnerDraw+5.05513
Match WinnerLose+5.14813
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.11810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.30210
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.98413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+5.68913
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.10413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.681013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-4.51312
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.65912
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.97111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.171011
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.0046
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+4.0166
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.1433

Arouca

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+7.68611
Match WinnerDraw-7.98111
Match WinnerLose-3.58411
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.50811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.03311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.76710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.53310
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+3.47711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.86411
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.1948
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.3468
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.31411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.68711
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.0009
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.0999
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1122
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0311
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0511
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.8711

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

EstorilLast matches Estoril

Estoril have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • BenficaBenfica2:1EstorilEstoril
    LPrimeira Liga · 31 Aug 2026
  • EstorilEstoril0:2Rio AveRio Ave
    LPrimeira Liga · 22 Aug 2026
  • NacionalNacional2:0EstorilEstoril
    LPrimeira Liga · 16 Aug 2026
  • EstorilEstoril1:1FamalicaoFamalicao
    DPrimeira Liga · 07 Aug 2026
  • CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses1:1EstorilEstoril
    DFriendlies Clubs · 31 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
60%

AroucaLast matches Arouca

Arouca are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • AroucaArouca2:1MaritimoMaritimo
    WPrimeira Liga · 29 Aug 2026
  • FC PortoFC Porto2:0AroucaArouca
    LPrimeira Liga · 23 Aug 2026
  • AroucaArouca4:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    WPrimeira Liga · 16 Aug 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC0:1AroucaArouca
    WPrimeira Liga · 08 Aug 2026
  • Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa0:2AroucaArouca
    WFriendlies Clubs · 01 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

Estoril vs Arouca Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto550011-11015
2Sporting CPSporting CP541014-5913
3Santa ClaraSanta Clara53209-3611
4BenficaBenfica431014-31110
5AroucaArouca43017-349
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente32103-037
7SC BragaSC Braga32105-327
8MaritimoMaritimo52126-8-27
9EstrelaEstrela41309-816
10NacionalNacional51136-8-24
11MoreirenseMoreirense41124-8-44
12Vitória SCVitória SC41033-5-23
13FamalicaoFamalicao50324-6-23
14Rio AveRio Ave51042-11-93
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu40224-8-42
16AlvercaAlverca50235-10-52
17EstorilEstoril40132-7-51
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40040-11-110
League position 17 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 5 / 18
00%Wins75%3
125%Draws0%0
375%Losses25%1
229%Goals scored100%7
7100%Goals conceded43%3
111%Points100%9

Season statistic Estoril vs Arouca

EstorilEstoril

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 3 (0.6)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

AroucaArouca

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
  • Referee F. Verissimo

Lineups

EstorilEstoril

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

AroucaArouca

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

EstorilEstoril

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

AroucaArouca

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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