Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction

Cagliari host Bologna on 24 October 2026 at 16:00 at Stadio Unipol Domus in Serie A's eighth round. This clash pits two of the league's most defensive sides, where low-scoring contests are the norm rather than the exception. Cagliari average just 1.86 goals per game this season, the lowest in Serie A. Bologna rank second-lowest at 2.29 goals per match. Both teams prioritise tempo control and structural discipline over open attacking play.

Form and H2H

Cagliari's attacking output remains a chronic problem. They score 0.86 goals per game across seven matches, joint third-worst in the division, yet maintain defensive solidity by conceding exactly one goal per match on average. At home, they have scored no more than once in eight of their last ten league games. Bologna mirror this attacking struggle with 0.86 goals per game, also joint third-worst, while conceding 1.43 per match. Away from home, Bologna have allowed opponents to score a maximum of one goal in eight of their last ten league visits, and have kept three goals out in nine of those ten trips. Cagliari's 4–0 defeat to Monza last time out appears an outlier against their season-long pattern of tight matches. Under 3.5 goals has landed in nine of Cagliari's ten recent home games.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals. When two teams combine for an average of 1.72 goals per game and both operate with defensive rigour, three goals across 90 minutes becomes a heavy ask. Cagliari's home discipline and Bologna's away caution create the conditions for a low-scoring affair. Back Under 2.5 at 1.67 with Melbet or 1.67 with 1Win.

Odds to watch

Bologna enter as moderate favourites. A Bologna win trades at 2.42 with Melbet, 2.52 with 1xBet, 2.46 with 1Win, and 2.5 with Mostbet. The draw sits at 3.02 with Melbet, 3.13 with 1xBet, 3.01 with 1Win, and 2.88 with Mostbet. Cagliari's home win is priced at 3.22 with Melbet, 3.35 with 1xBet, 3.22 with 1Win, and 3.15 with Mostbet. Bologna's attacking frailty on the road and Cagliari's inability to break down opponents at home make the favourite's edge narrow.