UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 13 Oct 2026Updated: 15 Oct 2026, 21:00

Match preview

Bournemouth host Sturm Graz on 15 October 2026 at 22:00 in the Europa League. The Cherries need to arrest a slide after consecutive Premier League defeats to Liverpool and Chelsea, though they opened their European campaign with a 2-1 win at Real Sociedad before that 5-1 loss at Stamford Bridge. Sturm Graz beat Austria Vienna 2-0 in their last outing and drew 0-0 with Rennes in their Europa League opener, winning five of their last ten matches across all competitions. Bournemouth's injury list includes Adli, Araujo, Kluivert, Scott and Milosavljevic, limiting squad depth. Sturm have midfielder Jurgen Heil available again after serving a domestic suspension.

Form and H2H

Bournemouth average 1.75 goals per home game in recent fixtures, a positive sign for their attacking intent. Sturm Graz have scored 1.8 goals per game away from home over their last ten matches, suggesting they carry a threat despite their Austrian league status. The hosts' defensive vulnerabilities, exposed by Chelsea's five-goal haul, could offer the visitors openings, but Bournemouth's attacking quality should dominate possession and chances.

Best Bet

Back Bournemouth to win. The hosts' superior squad depth and home advantage outweigh their recent form dip. Melbet price Bournemouth at 1.18, 1xBet at 1.21, 1Win at 1.19 and Mostbet at 1.17. Sturm Graz arrive as clear underdogs at 13.0 with Melbet, 13.4 with 1xBet and 13.6 with 1Win.

Odds to Watch

The draw sits at 7.4 with Melbet, 7.6 with 1xBet and 7.2 with 1Win. Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score both merit consideration given Bournemouth's attacking output and Sturm's away-game scoring record. The prediction is Bournemouth 3-1 Sturm Graz.

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1Win

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1X2 prediction for Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz

Date and time 15 October 2026 at 20:00

1X22
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BournemouthBournemouthLast matchesSturm GrazSturm Graz
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Bournemouth — Sturm Graz

In the last 1 meetings, Bournemouth hold the edge — 1 wins for Bournemouth, 0 for Sturm Graz, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • BournemouthBournemouth3:0Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    UEFA Europa League · 15 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
100%Bournemouth over 0.50%

Betting profits Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Bournemouth

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.91515
Match WinnerDraw+7.75615
Match WinnerLose-6.44415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.2189
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.4549
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.721115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-5.59415
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.601115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.51715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+3.33815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.89715
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.90712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.29912
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.6944
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+0.3813
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.4823
Both Teams ScoreYes+0.5511
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.0001

Sturm Graz

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.52714
Match WinnerDraw-0.94314
Match WinnerLose-7.26414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.64514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+7.43914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.64514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+4.871114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-7.15314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.471114
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.46811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+4.24311
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-11.00011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+2.501111
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.9622
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.2023
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.4723

Match statistics

6262%Possession %38%38
2.7288%Expected goals12%0.38
2480%Total shots20%6
889%Shots on target11%1
1067%Shots off target33%5
770%Corners30%3
1138%Fouls62%18
350%Yellow cards50%3
00%Red cards0%0
46361%Passes39%290
38265%Accurate passes35%203
125%Saves75%3
133%Offsides67%2

Key events

  • 14'
    Yellow card Evanilson
    Bournemouth
  • 41'
    Yellow card B. Beganović
    Sturm Graz
  • 43'Bournemouth
  • 58'
    Yellow card B. Diakité
    Bournemouth
  • 61'
    Substitution B. Beganović (→ O. Diakité)
    Sturm Graz
  • 62'
    Substitution A. Smith (→ J. Hill)
    Bournemouth
  • 66'
    Yellow card J. Soler
    Bournemouth
  • 69'
    Substitution T. Adams (→ R. Christie)
    Bournemouth
  • 70'
    Substitution Evanilson (→ J. Kluivert)
    Bournemouth
  • 70'
    Substitution M. Tavernier (→ Rayan)
    Bournemouth
  • 75'
    Substitution P. Petrović (→ A. Vallci)
    Sturm Graz
  • 75'
    Substitution Jacob Peter Hödl (→ J. Halwachs)
    Sturm Graz
  • 75'
    Substitution S. Seidl (→ A. Kayombo)
    Sturm Graz
  • 76'
    Goal Rayan
    Bournemouth
  • 83'
    Substitution L. Balbo (→ P. Koller)
    Sturm Graz
  • 84'
    Substitution B. Doak (→ A. Adli)
    Bournemouth
  • 85'
    Yellow card J. Halwachs
    Sturm Graz
  • 87'
    Yellow card A. Vallci
    Sturm Graz
  • 90+2'Bournemouth

BournemouthLast matches Bournemouth

In the last 5 matches Bournemouth have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • ChelseaChelsea5:1BournemouthBournemouth
    LPremier League · 10 Oct 2026
  • BournemouthBournemouth0:1LiverpoolLiverpool
    LPremier League · 20 Sept 2026
  • Real SociedadReal Sociedad1:2BournemouthBournemouth
    WUEFA Europa League · 17 Sept 2026
  • BournemouthBournemouth2:2BrentfordBrentford
    DPremier League · 12 Sept 2026
  • BournemouthBournemouth4:0LincolnLincoln
    WLeague Cup · 08 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

Sturm GrazLast matches Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • Austria ViennaAustria Vienna0:2Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    WBundesliga · 10 Oct 2026
  • Sturm GrazSturm Graz3:1Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC
    WFriendlies Clubs · 02 Oct 2026
  • Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg3:0Sturm GrazSturm Graz
    LBundesliga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Sturm GrazSturm Graz0:0RennesRennes
    DUEFA Europa League · 16 Sept 2026
  • Sturm GrazSturm Graz2:1Lask LinzLask Linz
    WBundesliga · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins60%3
120%Draws20%1
240%Losses20%1
9100%Goals scored78%7
9100%Goals conceded56%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz

BournemouthBournemouth

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
  • Referee Jerome Brisard

Lineups

Sturm GrazSturm Graz · 5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. J. Heil
  2. J. Gorenc Stankovič
  3. S. Seidl
  4. D. Khudyakov
  5. J. Quarshie
  6. B. Beganović
  7. V. Matoshi
  8. A. Malic
  9. L. Balbo
  10. P. Petrović
  11. Jacob Peter Hödl

Bench

  1. A. Vallci
  2. A. Helac
  3. P. Koller
  4. J. Halwachs
  5. O. Diakité
  6. E. Lorenz
  7. A. Kayombo
  8. Jonas Peinhart
  9. Luca Weinhandl
  10. J. Petritsch
  11. M. Grgic

Injuries and suspensions

BournemouthBournemouth

  • J. Kluivert — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • F. Forster — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • M. Aarons — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • J. Araujo — Unavailable. Thigh Injury
  • A. Adli — Unavailable. Calf Injury
  • Juanlu Sánchez — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • D. Jebbison — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • Alex Scott — Unavailable. Thigh Injury

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

  • A. Vallci — Unavailable. Injury
  • O. Kiteishvili — Unavailable. Calf Injury
  • S. Wlodarczyk — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • N. Geyrhofer — Unavailable. Off the roster
  • S. Jatta — Unavailable. Shoulder Injury
  • G. Mamageishvili — Unavailable. Injury
  • N. Weiper — Unavailable. Injury
  • E. Soglo — Unavailable. Muscle Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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