Botafogo vs Gremio Prediction

Botafogo host Gremio on 17 September 2026 at 01:30 in a rescheduled Serie A fixture where both teams sit near the relegation zone. Botafogo occupy 14th place with 32 points, while Gremio are 16th with 28. The hosts have not won in six league matches. Gremio lost their last two games and just sacked manager Castro, with Scolari taking temporary charge. Botafogo drew 1-1 at home to Bragantino in their last outing despite playing with a numerical advantage for most of the second half. The extra day of preparation following that draw gives the hosts a slight edge in recovery time.

Botafogo's injury list includes Telles, Paulinho, Barrera, and Caio. Cabral and Ferraresi are suspended. Manager Bellau still has sufficient depth to field a competitive eleven. Gremio are worse off: Pavon is banned, while Dodi, Amusu, and Marlon are sidelined through injury. Canemann may return. The visitor's away form under Castro was dire—no league wins on the road contributed to his dismissal. Now Gremio must travel to Rio and face a Botafogo side desperate for points and playing at home.

Form and H2H

Botafogo have won two of their last ten matches, drawn four, and lost four, averaging 0.70 goals for and 1.50 against at home. Gremio have won four of their last ten away from home, drawn two, and lost four, averaging 1.10 goals for and 1.10 against on the road. The head-to-head record between these sides spans 2011 to 2014, with Gremio holding a slight edge: they won three times, Botafogo won once, and they drew once. That history offers little predictive value given how long ago those matches occurred and how much both squads have changed.

Best bet

Back Botafogo to win at 1.74 with 22Bet. The hosts are under genuine pressure to end their winless run and cannot afford to drop more points at home. Gremio are fractured by managerial upheaval and have no recent away form to lean on. Botafogo showed against Bragantino that they can press aggressively and create chances despite their injury problems. Home advantage and desperation should tip this in their favour.

Odds to watch

The draw is available at 3.92 with 22Bet, a price worth considering given Botafogo's recent struggles to convert pressure into wins. Gremio at 4.75 represents a longer shot—the visitors are too unstable and too weak away from home to justify backing them here. Monitor team news on Gremio's potential returnees, particularly Canemann, as any late fitness boost could alter the tactical setup Scolari deploys in his first match in charge.