Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 8

Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

- : -11 October 2026 at 18:00Portugal
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 10 Oct 2026Updated: 10 Oct 2026, 12:16

Match preview

Benfica host Vitória SC on 11 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Primeira Liga. The Eagles arrive after a 3-1 defeat to Porto but have won eight of their last ten league matches at home, averaging 2.90 goals per game. Benfica will be without Clement Lenglet, suspended after a red card in the Porto derby. Vitória SC come to Estadio da Luz on a four-game winless run, having drawn 1-1 with Moreirense before the international break. The visitors have lost all five of their most recent away matches and concede 2.60 goals per game on the road. Forward Gustavo is doubtful with a knock; Miguel Noqueira stands ready to replace him. Vitória SC have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last ten matches.

Form and H2H

Benfica's home record this season is dominant: eight wins, one draw, one loss over ten matches. They average 2.90 goals for and 0.80 against at Estadio da Luz. Vitória SC's away form is dire: three wins, three draws, four losses, with just 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game on the road. The head-to-head record heavily favors Benfica. Since 2011, Benfica have won five of six meetings, including a 4-0 victory in March 2013 and a 3-0 win in November 2012. Vitória SC's only win came in February 2012, a 1-0 result at home.

Best Bet

Benfica to win is the clear play. The home side's eight-win record in their last ten, combined with Vitória SC's inability to win away, makes this a straightforward matchup. Benfica have also scored at least two goals in multiple recent home fixtures. The prediction is Benfica 2-0 Vitória SC.

Odds to Watch

No partner prices are currently available for this fixture. Bettors should monitor Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet for opening odds on the home win, over 2.5 goals, and Benfica over 1.5 goals markets as kickoff approaches.

Benfica vs Vitória SC Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Benfica vs Vitória SC

Date and time 11 October 2026 at 18:00

1X22
BTTSNo40%

Competitive fixture

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Benfica vs Vitória SC Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BenficaBenficaLast matchesVitória SCVitória SC
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
100%Over 1.5 goals40%
80%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Over 3.5 goals0%
40%BTTS40%
40%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Benfica — Vitória SC

In the last 8 meetings, Benfica hold the edge — 6 wins for Benfica, 0 for Vitória SC, 2 draws.

75% W — 625% D — 20% W — 0
  • BenficaBenfica3:0Vitória SCVitória SC
    Primeira Liga · 21 Mar 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC0:3BenficaBenfica
    Primeira Liga · 01 Nov 2025
  • Vitória SCVitória SC0:3BenficaBenfica
    Primeira Liga · 19 Apr 2025
  • BenficaBenfica1:0Vitória SCVitória SC
    Primeira Liga · 07 Dec 2024
  • Vitória SCVitória SC2:2BenficaBenfica
    Primeira Liga · 11 Feb 2024
  • BenficaBenfica4:0Vitória SCVitória SC
    Primeira Liga · 02 Sept 2023
  • BenficaBenfica5:1Vitória SCVitória SC
    Primeira Liga · 18 Mar 2023
  • Vitória SCVitória SC0:0BenficaBenfica
    Primeira Liga · 01 Oct 2022
88%Over 0.588%
75%Over 1.575%
75%Over 2.575%
25%BTTS25%
88%Benfica over 0.525%

Betting profits Benfica vs Vitória SC

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Benfica

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.181115
Match WinnerDraw+0.96215
Match WinnerLose-4.26215
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+3.321214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-9.21214
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+4.721315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-8.23515
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+6.241015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-6.38515
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.9357
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.8647
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.27414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.101014
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.591010
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-10.00010
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.4511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.0001

Vitória SC

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.3718
Match WinnerDraw+0.7528
Match WinnerLose+5.3258
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.8648
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.2348
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.3837
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+5.8767
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.2028
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.4668
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.0228
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.0278
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.4718
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.2778
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.4518
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.1878

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

BenficaLast matches Benfica

Benfica are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.6 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • FC PortoFC Porto3:1BenficaBenfica
    LPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • AC MilanAC Milan0:2BenficaBenfica
    WUEFA Europa League · 16 Sept 2026
  • BenficaBenfica3:1GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
    WPrimeira Liga · 13 Sept 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:4BenficaBenfica
    WPrimeira Liga · 09 Sept 2026
  • MaritimoMaritimo0:3BenficaBenfica
    WPrimeira Liga · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
40%

Vitória SCLast matches Vitória SC

In the last 5 matches Vitória SC have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • ChavesChaves0:1Vitória SCVitória SC
    WFriendlies Clubs · 25 Sept 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC1:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    DPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu2:1Vitória SCVitória SC
    LPrimeira Liga · 12 Sept 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC0:0Casa PiaCasa Pia
    DPrimeira Liga · 06 Sept 2026
  • SC BragaSC Braga1:0Vitória SCVitória SC
    LPrimeira Liga · 31 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.6
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
40%

Benfica vs Vitória SC Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto770018-31521
2BenficaBenfica751122-71516
3Sporting CPSporting CP743017-8915
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara743011-4715
5AroucaArouca732210-7311
6SC BragaSC Braga63217-5211
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente73226-5111
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu73229-9011
9EstrelaEstrela724114-14010
10AlvercaAlverca72239-11-28
11MaritimoMaritimo72238-12-48
12MoreirenseMoreirense82248-15-78
13FamalicaoFamalicao71429-727
14Vitória SCVitória SC71245-8-35
15NacionalNacional71157-15-84
16Rio AveRio Ave71155-15-104
17Casa PiaCasa Pia71153-16-134
18EstorilEstoril70253-10-72
League position 2 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 14 / 18
571%Wins14%1
114%Draws29%2
114%Losses57%4
22100%Goals scored23%5
788%Goals conceded100%8
16100%Points31%5

Season statistic Benfica vs Vitória SC

BenficaBenfica

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 3
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 13 (2.6)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 0

Vitória SCVitória SC

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 3 (0.6)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
  • Referee Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Lineups

BenficaBenfica

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Vitória SCVitória SC

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

BenficaBenfica

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Vitória SCVitória SC

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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