UEFA Nations League · League A - 3

Belgium vs Türkiye Prediction

3 : 0FTWorld
AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 02 Oct 2026Updated: 02 Oct 2026, 20:42

Match preview

Belgium host Türkiye on 2 October 2026 at 21:45 in the third round of UEFA Nations League Group A at the Maurice Dufrasne Stadium in Liège. Belgium won 2-0 away to Italy in their opener, then drew 1-1 at home to France after conceding in the 88th minute. Türkiye lost 1-0 at home to France, then suffered a 4-1 defeat to Italy with three goals conceded before half-time. Belgium sit on three points; Türkiye have zero points and a goal difference of 1:5.

Form and H2H

Belgium have conceded just one goal in two Nations League matches and kept their defensive shape against France for 88 minutes under new coach Mark van Bommel. Türkiye have conceded five goals across their opening two games and have conceded first in each of their last six matches. In head-to-head history, both teams have scored in 9 of the 11 meetings between them. Türkiye's only win on Belgian soil came in a 2004 friendly.

Best bet

Both teams to score. Belgium's single clean sheet in their last six matches and Türkiye's pattern of conceding early goals create space for both sides to find the net. At 1xBet, a Belgium win pays 1.55, while Mostbet offers 1.54 for the same outcome. The draw stands at 4.81 with 1xBet and 4.5 with Mostbet.

Odds to watch

Türkiye's away form and defensive vulnerabilities make Belgium favourites. A Türkiye win is priced at 5.6 on 1xBet and 5.4 on Mostbet. Belgium's home advantage and superior recent performances justify the shorter odds on a home victory, though Türkiye's desperation for points after two defeats could produce an open match.

Belgium vs Türkiye Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet1.524.95.9Place a bet
Mostbet1.464.96Place a bet
Best odds1.524.906.00
Average1.494.905.95
Lowest odds1.464.905.90
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Belgium vs Türkiye

Date and time 2 October 2026 at 21:45

1X211.5264%
O/UO 1.570%
DC1/X82%
BTTSYes50%
1 64%X 18%2 18%

Belgium Win & Total over 1.5

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Belgium vs Türkiye Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BelgiumBelgiumLast matchesTürkiyeTürkiye
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Belgium — Türkiye

In the last 1 meetings, Belgium hold the edge — 1 wins for Belgium, 0 for Türkiye, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • Belgium3:0Türkiye
    UEFA Nations League · 02 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
100%Belgium over 0.50%

Betting profits Belgium vs Türkiye

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Belgium

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.45815
Match WinnerDraw+8.85515
Match WinnerLose-11.21215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.441011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-7.11111
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.451113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.09613
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.12714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.42714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.27714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.87814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.99614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.31814
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+12.2547
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-3.4137
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.0134
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1311
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes+2.5533
Both Teams ScoreNo-3.0003

Türkiye

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.52915
Match WinnerDraw-6.19115
Match WinnerLose+0.13515
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.861013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.27313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.6657
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.8237
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.24915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.03615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.11915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.89715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+5.27815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-4.40715
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+9.17411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.27711
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+3.3635
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0335
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.3748
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.2848

Match statistics

5454%Possession %46%46
1743%Total shots57%23
1056%Shots on target44%8
533%Shots off target67%10
229%Corners71%5
1250%Fouls50%12
457%Yellow cards43%3
00%Red cards0%0
52254%Passes46%439
46355%Accurate passes45%373
853%Saves47%7
00%Offsides100%1

Key events

  • 10'
    K. De BruyneGoal
    Belgium
  • 26'
    D. LukebakioYellow card
    Belgium
  • 30'
    Y. TielemansYellow card
    Belgium
  • 45'
    B. Yılmaz → Y. AkgünSubstitution
    Türkiye
  • 56'
    A. BardakcıYellow card
    Türkiye
  • 59'
    K. De BruyneGoal · assist Y. Tielemans
    Belgium
  • 61'
    D. Lukebakio → R. LukakuSubstitution
    Belgium
  • 61'
    H. Vanaken → R. LaviaSubstitution
    Belgium
  • 66'
    O. Aydın → I. FakiliSubstitution
    Türkiye
  • 67'
    K. Aktürkoğlu → D. GülSubstitution
    Türkiye
  • 71'
    M. DemiralYellow card
    Türkiye
  • 73'
    B. Elmaz → S. ÖzcanSubstitution
    Türkiye
  • 75'
    M. Godts → L. TrossardSubstitution
    Belgium
  • 76'
    R. LukakuGoal
    Belgium
  • 80'
    K. De BruyneYellow card
    Belgium
  • 82'
    C. De Ketelaere → M. FofanaSubstitution
    Belgium
  • 82'
    K. De Bruyne → L. OpendaSubstitution
    Belgium
  • 85'
    İ. Yüksek → E. TıknazSubstitution
    Türkiye
  • 90+2'
    A. GülerYellow card
    Türkiye
  • 90+2'
    N. NgoyYellow card
    Belgium

BelgiumLast matches Belgium

In the last 5 matches Belgium have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • Belgium0:1France
    LUEFA Nations League · 28 Sept 2026
  • Italy0:2Belgium
    WUEFA Nations League · 25 Sept 2026
  • Spain2:1Belgium
    LWorld Cup · 10 Jul 2026
  • USA1:4Belgium
    WWorld Cup · 07 Jul 2026
  • Belgium2:2Senegal
    DWorld Cup · 01 Jul 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

TürkiyeLast matches Türkiye

In the last 5 matches Türkiye have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 10% D — 080% L — 4
  • Türkiye1:4Italy
    LUEFA Nations League · 28 Sept 2026
  • Türkiye0:1France
    LUEFA Nations League · 25 Sept 2026
  • Türkiye3:2USA
    WWorld Cup · 26 Jun 2026
  • Türkiye0:1Paraguay
    LWorld Cup · 20 Jun 2026
  • Australia2:0Türkiye
    LWorld Cup · 14 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Belgium vs Türkiye Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FranceFrance22002-026
2BelgiumBelgium21012-113
3ItalyItaly21014-313
4TürkiyeTürkiye20021-5-40
1GreeceGreece32105-327
2NetherlandsNetherlands31205-415
3GermanyGermany31113-214
4SerbiaSerbia30032-6-40
1SpainSpain22007-346
2EnglandEngland21014-313
3CroatiaCroatia21013-5-23
4CzechiaCzechia20021-4-30
1PortugalPortugal33007-349
2DenmarkDenmark31026-7-13
3NorwayNorway31025-6-13
4WalesWales31022-4-23
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland22006-066
2SloveniaSlovenia21102-024
3ScotlandScotland20110-3-31
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia20020-5-50
1UkraineUkraine21101-014
2Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland21101-014
3HungaryHungary20110-1-11
4GeorgiaGeorgia20110-1-11
1AustriaAustria32108-447
2KosovoKosovo31112-3-14
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland31115-324
4IsraelIsrael30121-6-51
1SwedenSweden22005-236
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina21104-224
3PolandPoland20111-3-21
4RomaniaRomania20023-6-30
1AlbaniaAlbania22005-056
2FinlandFinland21107-074
3BelarusBelarus20110-2-21
4San MarinoSan Marino20020-10-100
1MontenegroMontenegro33007-439
2CyprusCyprus31113-214
3ArmeniaArmenia31024-5-13
4LatviaLatvia30121-4-31
1SlovakiaSlovakia22004-136
2MoldovaMoldova31113-4-14
3Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands20202-202
4KazakhstanKazakhstan30123-5-21
1IcelandIceland21104-134
2LuxembourgLuxembourg21012-4-23
3EstoniaEstonia20201-102
4BulgariaBulgaria20111-2-11
1MaltaMalta21103-214
2GibraltarGibraltar20201-102
3AndorraAndorra20111-2-11
1LithuaniaLithuania21103-124
2AzerbaijanAzerbaijan20201-102
3LiechtensteinLiechtenstein20110-2-21
League position 2 / 54Comparative team statisticsLeague position 4 / 54
150%Wins50%1
150%Draws0%0
150%Losses100%2
2100%Goals scored50%1
120%Goals conceded100%5
3100%Points0%0

Season statistic Belgium vs Türkiye

BelgiumBelgium

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

TürkiyeTürkiye

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 3 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
  • Referee Rohit Saggi

Lineups

BelgiumBelgium · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. B. Mechele
  2. H. Vanaken
  3. K. De Bruyne
  4. T. Castagne
  5. Y. Tielemans
  6. D. Lukebakio
  7. C. De Ketelaere
  8. M. De Cuyper
  9. S. Lammens
  10. N. Ngoy
  11. M. Godts

Bench

  1. L. Openda
  2. R. Lukaku
  3. M. Vandevoordt
  4. L. Trossard
  5. N. Raskin
  6. K. De Winter
  7. A. Theate
  8. R. Lavia
  9. Z. Debast
  10. M. Penders
  11. M. Fofana
  12. J. Seys

TürkiyeTürkiye · 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. F. Kadıoğlu
  2. Z. Çelik
  3. M. Demiral
  4. U. Çakır
  5. A. Bardakcı
  6. B. Yılmaz
  7. O. Aydın
  8. K. Aktürkoğlu
  9. B. Elmaz
  10. İ. Yüksek
  11. A. Güler

Bench

  1. Y. Akgün
  2. S. Özcan
  3. O. Kabak
  4. İ. Kahveci
  5. E. Topçu
  6. E. Elmalı
  7. A. Bayındır
  8. M. Şengezer
  9. M. Eskihellaç
  10. E. Tıknaz
  11. D. Gül
  12. I. Fakili

Injuries and suspensions

BelgiumBelgium

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

TürkiyeTürkiye

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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