Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen host SC Freiburg on 18 October 2026 at 16:30 in Bundesliga round six. Leverkusen sit third in the scoring charts with 2.8 goals per game and have won their last two league matches: a 2–0 home victory over RB Leipzig and a 4–3 away win at Mainz 05. Freiburg lead the table after five matches with 13 points and arrive as the league's tightest defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game. Leverkusen have scored in the opening 45 minutes of all five league matches this season and remain unbeaten in nine of their last ten home Bundesliga fixtures.

Freiburg drew 2–2 with Eintracht Frankfurt before beating Schalke 04 2–1 away, though they lost midfielder Yuito Suzuki to a 64th-minute red card in that contest. The visitors have conceded a goal in the first half of all five league games this term. Both teams favour quick vertical transitions and attacking football, creating the conditions for an open match.

Form and H2H

Leverkusen average 2.70 goals for and 1.10 against across their last ten home matches, posting seven wins, one draw, and two losses. Freiburg's away form reads nine wins and one draw from their last ten road games, averaging 3.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded. Leverkusen have won all ten recent home Bundesliga matches by shots on target. Freiburg have stayed onside in nine of their last ten away Bundesliga matches, committing no more than two offsides per game.

Best bet

Over 2.5 goals. Both sides average 2.8 goals per match and have demonstrated consistent attacking intent. Leverkusen's home record and Freiburg's away form combine with their respective attacking profiles to suggest a high-scoring contest. Leverkusen's defence has conceded 1.6 goals per game, while Freiburg's first-half goalscoring streak and Leverkusen's early-game threat create multiple scoring windows. Back Over 2.5 at 1xBet 4.62 or Mostbet 4.1.

Odds to watch

Leverkusen are priced at 1.68 on Melbet for the home win, reflecting their status as favourites despite Freiburg's league position. A Freiburg victory sits at 4.44 on Melbet or 4.62 on 1xBet. The draw is available at 4.26 on Melbet. Leverkusen over 1.5 goals and Freiburg over 0.5 goals both carry strong appeal given the attacking shape of both teams and the defensive vulnerabilities on display.