Primera A · Clausura - 12

Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 25 Sept 2026Updated: 25 Sept 2026, 13:21

Match preview

Atletico Nacional hosts Millonarios on 25 September 2026 at 03:30 in Colombia's Superclásico, the 12th round of the Clausura. Nacional plays at home with urgent motivation: Millonarios won both meetings this year 6–1 combined, and a third straight loss would be catastrophic for the club's reputation and coaching staff. The Medellín crowd will create intense pressure on the visitors from the opening whistle.

Millonarios arrive without Juan Guillermo Cuadrado, their creative leader and primary outlet against high pressing. His absence weakens their ability to control tempo in midfield and escape Nacional's relentless attacks. Nacional's aggressive setup will expose Millonarios' defensive vulnerabilities, especially in transition, but the visitors' quick forwards remain dangerous on the counter. Expect an open, high-intensity match rather than a controlled home win.

Form and H2H

Nacional's last ten at home: 8 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, averaging 2.20 goals for and 0.80 against. Millonarios away: 5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, averaging 1.50 goals for and 0.70 against. Head-to-head since 2016 favors Nacional with three wins and two draws against Millonarios' single victory, though Millonarios dominated the 2026 season series decisively.

Best Bet

Back Atletico Nacional to win. The home side's eight wins in ten matches at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, combined with Millonarios' midfield crisis and Nacional's revenge motivation, makes the hosts clear favorites. Mostbet offers 1.7 on the home win, with 1xBet at 1.72 and 22Bet at 1.75.

Odds to Watch

The draw sits at 3.64 on Mostbet and 22Bet, 3.66 on 1xBet, and 3.68 on Melbet. Millonarios' odds to win are 4.30 on Mostbet and 22Bet, 4.45 on 1xBet, and 4.49 on Melbet. Nacional's defensive lapses when pressing high suggest both teams will score; watch Over 1.5 goals in the match.

Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.713.684.49Place a bet
1xBet1.723.664.45Place a bet
Mostbet1.73.644.3Place a bet
Best odds1.723.684.49
Average1.713.664.41
Lowest odds1.703.644.30
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios

Date and time 25 September 2026 at 01:30

1X211.7154%
DC1/X79%
BTTSYes60%
1 54%X 25%2 21%

Atletico Nacional win

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Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Atletico NacionalAtletico N.Last matchesMillonariosMillonarios
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Atletico Nacional — Millonarios

In the last 8 meetings, Millonarios hold the edge — 1 wins for Atletico Nacional, 4 for Millonarios, 3 draws.

13% W — 138% D — 350% W — 4
  • MillonariosMillonarios3:0Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    Primera A · 18 Mar 2026
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1:3MillonariosMillonarios
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 05 Mar 2026
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional2:0MillonariosMillonarios
    Primera A · 28 Sept 2025
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional0:1MillonariosMillonarios
    Primera A · 17 Jun 2025
  • MillonariosMillonarios0:0Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    Primera A · 06 Jun 2025
  • MillonariosMillonarios0:0Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    Primera A · 14 Apr 2025
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1:1MillonariosMillonarios
    Primera A · 03 Dec 2024
  • MillonariosMillonarios2:1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    Primera A · 30 Nov 2024
75%Over 0.575%
63%Over 1.563%
38%Over 2.538%
38%BTTS38%
50%Atletico N. over 0.563%

Betting profits Atletico N. vs Millonarios

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Atletico Nacional

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.111114
Match WinnerDraw-14.00014
Match WinnerLose-3.67314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.921012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.66212
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.091214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.70614
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.03814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.19614
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.76712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.861012
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.45313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.961013
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.87110
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.27910
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.0111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.0111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.4111
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.8611

Millonarios

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.74615
Match WinnerDraw+1.40415
Match WinnerLose+4.00515
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.02912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.85312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.00913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.561013
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.05515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.401015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-6.14411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.571011
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.64213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.511113
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-8.0008
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.9988
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+2.1711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2322
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002

Match statistics

6060%Possession %40%40
1376%Total shots24%4
350%Shots on target50%3
990%Shots off target10%1
00%Big chances0%0
360%Corners40%2
1648%Fouls52%17
360%Yellow cards40%2
1100%Red cards0%0
38859%Passes41%270
32263%Accurate passes37%191
250%Saves50%2
133%Offsides67%2

Key events

Atletico NacionalLast matches Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.6 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • LlanerosLlaneros2:0Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    LPrimera A · 21 Sept 2026
  • Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota2:3Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    WPrimera A · 17 Sept 2026
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional2:0Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
    WPrimera A · 13 Sept 2026
  • Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional3:0Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
    WCopa Colombia · 08 Sept 2026
  • Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1:5Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
    WPrimera A · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.6
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

MillonariosLast matches Millonarios

In the last 5 matches Millonarios have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • MillonariosMillonarios3:0ChicoChico
    WPrimera A · 19 Sept 2026
  • CucutaCucuta1:2MillonariosMillonarios
    WPrimera A · 14 Sept 2026
  • MillonariosMillonarios1:1Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
    DPrimera A · 11 Sept 2026
  • Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1:1MillonariosMillonarios
    DPrimera A · 07 Sept 2026
  • Santa FeSanta Fe3:2MillonariosMillonarios
    LPrimera A · 03 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535-152040
2JuniorJunior19112631-24735
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529-25434
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625-151033
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231-22933
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427-171031
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429-22729
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526-26028
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620-16427
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731-23826
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726-24226
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720-25-526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626-20623
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517-20-322
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722-27-522
16JaguaresJaguares19531120-33-1318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813-27-1417
18ChicoChico19521215-32-1717
19CucutaCucuta1937922-35-1316
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115-32-1710
1America de CaliAmerica de Cali1173122-61624
2MillonariosMillonarios1154215-8719
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin961217-11619
4Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional860217-8918
5Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1053215-8718
6BucaramangaBucaramanga945014-8617
7Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1052313-11217
8Santa FeSanta Fe1044216-11516
9LlanerosLlaneros1042413-12114
10Once CaldasOnce Caldas1033413-12112
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas925212-13-111
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1125413-17-411
13CucutaCucuta102359-18-99
14Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1015411-16-58
15Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto102269-15-68
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar102269-20-118
17ChicoChico92257-18-118
18Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira81436-11-57
19JaguaresJaguares914410-16-67
20JuniorJunior813412-14-26
League position 1 / 40Comparative team statisticsLeague position 10 / 40
1368%Wins37%7
15%Draws26%5
526%Losses37%7
35100%Goals scored89%31
1565%Goals conceded100%23
40100%Points65%26

Season statistic Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios

Atletico NacionalAtletico N.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 13 (2.6)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

MillonariosMillonarios

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin
  • Referee Diego Ulloa Angulo

Lineups

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

MillonariosMillonarios

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

MillonariosMillonarios

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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