Almeria vs Leganes Prediction

Almeria host Leganes on 11 October 2026 at 17:15 in Segunda División. Almeria arrive as heavy favorites after winning eight of their last ten matches at home, conceding just 0.50 goals per game over that run. Leganes have struggled on the road, posting four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten away outings while averaging 0.90 goals for and 1.11 against. The head-to-head record shows Almeria won 3-0 at Leganes in November 2025 and beat them 2-1 at home in April 2026, though Leganes took a 3-2 victory in January 2025.

Form and H2H

Almeria's home form is the standout metric here. Eight wins in ten matches with an average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded represents genuine control. Leganes have found away fixtures difficult this season, winning only 40 percent of their road games. In their six meetings since 2021, Almeria have won three, drawn two, and lost one. The most recent encounters favor the hosts: a 3-0 demolition in November 2025 followed by a 2-1 win in April 2026 suggest Almeria have found a formula against this opponent.

Best Bet

Almeria to win at 1.66 with 1xBet or 1.64 with 1Win. Almeria's home record, Leganes' away struggles, and the recent head-to-head advantage all point to a home victory. The profit trend for Almeria's match winner bets at home sits at 3.06, indicating consistent backing of their wins has paid out. A single goal margin fits the pattern of both teams' defensive records.

Odds to Watch

Under 1.5 goals is available at 4.33 across the market. Almeria average 1.90 goals at home but Leganes concede 1.11 away, suggesting a low-scoring affair. The profit trend for Under 1.5 goals at home is 2.91, and for Under 2 goals away it reaches 2.94. Both teams to score at 2.10 offers value on the flip side if you expect Leganes to threaten on the break, though Almeria's defensive record makes a clean sheet more likely.