Sports predictions
Stefan Posch

Stefan PoschRB#4

Mainz·Bundesliga logoBundesliga·Defender - Centre-Back

29 years(14/05/1997)1,88mrightAustriaContract until -

6.82Rating43 matches in 12 months
€6.00mMarket value#8 in Mainz · #202 in Bundesliga

Last 5rating per match

Serie A01.116.6
World Cup Qu15.117.1
World Cup Qu18.116.6
Serie A24.116.7
Serie A28.116.8

Form, 12 monthsaverage rating per month

6.80Nov
6.40Dec
6.90Jan
6.70Feb
7.30Mar
7.20Apr
6.70May
6.10Jun
5.90Jul
Aug
6.80Sep
7.00Oct

Key statsUEFA Nations League · Bundesliga

Goals0
xG0.010.01 / 90
Assists0
xA0.100.10 / 90
Shots91.51 / 90
Shots on target444%
Key passes30.50 / 90
Pass accuracy83.8%

xG — expected goals: the quality of the chances taken; xA — expected assists: the quality of the chances created. Values per 90 minutes are shown under the totals. What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

Player profileattributes and traits

ATTACKING42TECHNIQUE43TACTICAL61DEFENDING74CREATIVITY44

Player Position average

Attacking42
Technique43
Tactical61
Defending74
Creativity44

Strengths

  • Through balls
  • Ground duels

Weaknesses

No outstanding weaknesses

Player positions: DR · DC

Positions on the pitch

RBCBAttack →

Percentiles per 90per 90 minutes vs positional peers of the league

AttackingPer 90 · Percentile

Goals0.0019%
xG0.0327%
Shots0.7162%
Shots on target0.1955%
Conversion %018%
Big chances missed0.0075%
Dribbles0.2644%
Fouls won0.7751%
Offsides0.0673%

PlaymakingPer 90 · Percentile

Assists0.0023%
xA0.0854%
Key passes0.5251%
Big chances created0.0649%
Accurate passes34.3944%
Pass accuracy %77.621%
Final third passes5.6835%
Long balls2.5263%
Crosses0.3256%

DefendingPer 90 · Percentile

Tackles2.9798%
Interceptions1.3563%
Clearances5.7472%
Blocks0.7165%
Aerial duels won2.7784%
Duels won6.7793%
Recoveries4.3970%
Dribbled past0.6526%
Fouls0.5284%
Errors leading to goal0.0616%

What a percentile means

The percentile shows what share of players of the same position in this league the player beats on a per-90-minute metric. 90% — better than nine out of ten peers; 50% — the league median. Per 90 minutes removes the effect of playing time.

For fouls, offsides, being dribbled past and goals conceded the scale is inverted: a higher percentile means fewer of them.

vs 57 defenders · Bundesliga · season 25/26 · min 270′ · player 1395′

Similar playersBundesliga · defenders · season 25/26

81%Amos Pieper photoAmos PieperWerder Bremen · Defender - Centre-Back7.03Rating0G0A28age79%Jeffrey Gouweleeuw photoJeffrey GouweleeuwAugsburg · Defender - Centre-Back6.57Rating0G1A35age78%Lukas Ullrich photoLukas UllrichMönchengladbach · Defender - Left-Back6.50Rating0G0A22age78%Felix Agu photoFelix AguWerder Bremen · Defender - Left-Back6.66Rating0G0A26age76%Timo Hübers photoTimo Hübers1.FC Köln · Defender - Centre-Back6.96Rating0G0A30age76%Jordy Makengo photoJordy MakengoFreiburg · Defender - Left-Back6.59Rating0G1A25age

Profile match = 100 − mean gap of per-90 percentiles across 28 metrics of this position; players of the same league, position group and season with at least 270 minutes.

Reality checkactual vs expected, by season

Goals vs xG

-0.4

Goals xG · total 0 / 0.4

Assists vs xA

-0.6

Assists xA · total 0 / 0.6

Bars above xG mean the player scores more than the quality of his chances suggests; a long run below xG is usually a finishing problem, a short one — variance.

Availability

StatusInjuredsince 17.06.2026
National teamAustria logoAustria56 caps · 5 goals
Contract until-
Market value€6.00mHighest: €14.00m (17/12/2019)

Season statsSeason 26/27

CompetitionTeamSeasonAppsMinRatingGAG+AYCRC
UEFA Nations League logoUEFA Nations LeagueAustria logoAustria26/2732706.87——0——
Bundesliga logoBundesliga1. FSV Mainz 05 logo1. FSV Mainz 0526/2732686.83——01—
Transfers23
DateSeasonFromToFeeMarket value
12/08/202626/27Como logoComoMainz logoMainz€4.00m€6.00m
30/06/202625/26Mainz logoMainzComo logoComoEnd of loan€6.00m
22/01/202625/26Como logoComoMainz logoMainzLoan fee:€200k€5.50m
21/01/202625/26Bologna logoBolognaComo logoComo€5.90m€5.50m
20/01/202625/26Como logoComoBologna logoBolognaEnd of loan€5.50m
01/09/202525/26Bologna logoBolognaComo logoComoLoan fee:€500k€8.00m
30/06/202524/25Atalanta logoAtalantaBologna logoBolognaEnd of loan€8.00m
03/02/202524/25Bologna logoBolognaAtalanta logoAtalantaLoan fee:€1.00m€10.00m
01/07/202323/24Hoffenheim logoHoffenheimBologna logoBologna€5.00m€14.00m
30/06/202322/23Bologna logoBolognaHoffenheim logoHoffenheimEnd of loan€14.00m
01/09/202222/23Hoffenheim logoHoffenheimBologna logoBolognaLoan fee:€350k€10.00m
01/07/201717/18Hoffenheim II logoHoffenheim IIHoffenheim logoHoffenheim-€100k
01/07/201616/17Hoffenheim U19 logoHoffenheim U19Hoffenheim II logoHoffenheim II--
06/08/201515/16Admira Wacker logoAdmira WackerHoffenheim U19 logoHoffenheim U19€200k-
01/07/201414/15FC Admira II logoFC Admira IIAdmira Wacker logoAdmira Wacker--
01/01/201413/14AKA Admira U18FC Admira II logoFC Admira II--
01/07/201313/14AKA Admira U16AKA Admira U18--
01/07/201212/13AKA Admira U15AKA Admira U16--
01/07/201111/12Admira YouthAKA Admira U15--
15/03/201110/11Sturm Graz Yth logoSturm Graz YthAdmira Youth?-
01/07/201010/11GAK YouthSturm Graz Yth logoSturm Graz Yth?-
01/07/200909/10Leoben Youth logoLeoben YouthGAK Youth?-
01/07/200808/09Kraubath Jgd.Leoben Youth logoLeoben Youth?-

Market value

€6.00m Current€14.00m Highest · 17/12/201927/05/2026 Last change
€14.00m
03.07.201427.05.2026
#18 Austria#202 Bundesliga#346 Centre-Back#8 Mainz#1.959 Worldwide#153 Year 1997
Value history
DateAgeClubValue
03/07/201417FC Admira Wacker Mödling logoFC Admira Wacker Mödling€125k
11/01/201517FC Admira Wacker Mödling logoFC Admira Wacker Mödling€125k
17/06/201518FC Admira Wacker Mödling logoFC Admira Wacker Mödling€100k
08/07/201518FC Admira Wacker Mödling logoFC Admira Wacker Mödling-
09/08/201619TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II€75k
06/02/201719TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II€100k
18/10/201720TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€300k
28/12/201720TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€2.50m
05/06/201821TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€2.50m
18/12/201821TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€2.50m
06/03/201921TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€5.50m
05/06/201922TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€5.50m
02/10/201922TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€9.00m
17/12/201922TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€14.00m
08/04/202022TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€11.00m
26/11/202023TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€13.00m
10/02/202123TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€13.00m
27/05/202124TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€13.00m
07/10/202124TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€11.00m
22/12/202124TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€11.00m
09/06/202225TSG 1899 Hoffenheim€10.00m
27/09/202225Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€7.00m
11/11/202225Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€7.00m
21/03/202325Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€10.00m
15/06/202326Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€14.00m
20/12/202326Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€14.00m
05/06/202427Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€14.00m
18/12/202427Bologna FC 1909 logoBologna FC 1909€10.00m
17/06/202528Atalanta BC logoAtalanta BC€8.00m
07/10/202528Como 1907 logoComo 1907€7.00m
23/12/202528Como 1907 logoComo 1907€5.50m
27/05/2026291.FSV Mainz 05 logo1.FSV Mainz 05€6.00m
xG Statisticsall seasons
SeasonLeagueClubAppsMinGxGnpxGAxAShKPxGChain
2026BundesligaMainz 0518900.010.0100.1111.18
2025BundesligaMainz 0516139900.40.400.491084.9

What xG, npxG, xA and xGChain mean

xG Expected goals
How many goals an average finisher would score from the same shots. A 0.30 xG shot goes in about 3 times in 10. Goals above xG mean efficient finishing; below — a cold streak or poor finishing.
npxG Non-penalty xG
The same xG without penalties. A penalty alone is worth about 0.76 xG, so npxG is a cleaner view of open-play and set-piece chances.
xA Expected assists
The xG of the shots that followed the player's passes. High xA with few assists means teammates missed good chances.
xGChain xG chain
Team xG from every possession the player touched. It shows involvement in build-up, not only the shot or the final pass, so a deep midfielder can rank high without scoring.
KP Key passes
Passes that led directly to a shot — the volume behind xA.

Teammatessame club

Alexander Schwolow photoAlexander SchwolowGoalkeeper34age€450kvalueAnthony Caci photoAnthony CaciDefender - Right-Back29age€7.00mvalueBenedict Hollerbach photoBenedict HollerbachAttack - Centre-Forward25age€8.00mvalueDanny da Costa photoDanny da CostaDefender - Centre-Back33age€1.20mvalueDominik Kohr photoDominik KohrDefender - Centre-Back32age€2.00mvalueEric Martel photoEric MartelMidfield - Defensive Midfield24age€8.00mvalueFabio Gruber photoFabio GruberDefender - Centre-Back24age€3.00mvalueJae-sung Lee photoJae-sung LeeMidfield - Attacking Midfield34age€2.00mvalue